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SEC PREVIEW & PREDICTIONS
SEPTEMBER 17, 2005
September 15, 2005
by Jess Nicholas
Editor-in-Chief
TideFans.com
Last week's record: 6-1 (85.7%)
Season record: 16-2 (88.9%)
Two big games are on the slate for this week, as Alabama takes on South
Carolina and Tennessee heads down to The Swamp for what the Volunteers
hope will be a little Urban Destruction. Last week's games went pretty
much as planned, except for Vanderbilt going into Fayetteville,
outscoring Arkansas 15-0 in the fourth quarter and heading back to
Nashville undefeated. The Commodores have a chance at 3-0 this week,
while the other big sub-story will be how Mississippi State handles
Tulane in the Green Wave's first game since Hurricane Katrina.
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TENNESSEE at
FLORIDA |
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Florida is riding
high heading into this week, and QB Chris Leak is starting to land
on some early Heisman Trophy lists. The only problem with that is
Florida has played Wyoming and Louisiana Tech, which is not exactly
Murderer's Row. Tennessee came out flat in week one and almost fell
to lowly UAB, and is now mired in the middle of a quarterback
controversy that seems to have no end. Instead of Erik Ainge versus
Brent Schaeffer, it's Ainge versus Rick Clausen, an experienced
senior who, alas, has a limited skill set. Clausen will get the
start in this one, but all eyes will be on both teams' secondaries.
Florida's unit is statistically superior, but hasn't played stiff
competition. Tennessee's defensive backfield has certainly developed
consistency over the past two years -- it's been consistently bad.
While it's usually tough for the visiting team to win in this
series, look for Tennessee to come out on top in this one, as
Florida is still learning how to use its wings under the tutelage of
the new coaching staff.
Tennessee
24
Florida
17 |
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ALABAMA at SOUTH CAROLINA |
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See our extended preview!
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KENTUCKY at INDIANA |
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This looked like
a loss for Kentucky in the preseason, but as uneven as Kentucky has
looked in the early going, Indiana has looked just plain bad. The
Hoosiers are 2-0, but the two wins have been close ones over MAC
non-factor Central Michigan and Division I-AA Nicholls State. If
Kentucky can stop the Hoosiers' passing attack, which is approaching
dangerous status under new head coach Terry Hoeppner, the speed of
the Wildcats may be too much to overcome for the Hoosiers. Look for
Kentucky to run the ball well against Indiana, something the
Wildcats figure to do against very few opponents in 2005.
Kentucky
28
Indiana 24 |
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LOUISIANA-MONROE at GEORGIA |
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Louisiana-Monroe
has lost twice, once in a shutout to Wyoming and also in its opener
to Northwestern State. That's not Northwestern of Big 10 fame,
that's Northwestern State of Division-IAA. Georgia, meanwhile, had
their sails deflated last week by a pesky South Carolina team. The
Bulldogs will be looking to take out some frustrations on
Louisiana-Monroe. The Indians will be powerless to stop them.
Georgia
52
La.-Monroe 7 |
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MISSISSIPPI at
VANDERBILT |
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Ole Miss won its
opener at Memphis, but did so against a rebuilding team whose
starting quarterback was hurt early in the game. Vanderbilt,
meanwhile, is tied for the SEC East lead after two weeks and
garnered a vote in this week's top 25 poll, sending trivia hounds
scrambling to answer those "The last time..." questions. Ole Miss'
defense was tough against Memphis, and Vanderbilt will need to
improve over its efforts against Wake Forest and Arkansas if the
Commodores are to pull off another upset here. On the flip side, Ole
Miss' offense looks decidedly like a work in progress. The
Commodores will have home field advantage, and they also are
beginning to corner the market on fourth quarter play. That's a big
factor against an Ole Miss team that is still getting accustomed to
new offensive and defensive systems. Could Vandy be 3-0 after this
week? They just might.
Vanderbilt 24
Ole Miss 21 |
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ARKANSAS at SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA |
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This is one of
those games that, if you're an Arkansas hater, you love to see
played. Arkansas struggled a little with SW Missouri State in week
one, then got embarrassed against Vanderbilt. Southern Cal,
meanwhile, toyed with Hawaii for a little while before putting the
Rainbow Warriors to sleep, 63-17. But this game will be a tougher
challenge for the Trojans, if for no other reason than Arkansas
comes into this game leading the country in rushing offense. With
Southern Cal's rushing defense yielding more yards on the ground to
Hawaii than expected, the potential exists for Arkansas to beat the
spread -- but not much more than that. Even doing that would be
considered an upset.
Southern Cal
47
Arkansas
17 |
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BALL STATE at AUBURN |
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So long as Auburn
doesn't turn the ball over on every other possession -- which is a
possibility, given Auburn's inability to hold onto the ball and Ball
State's ability to create turnovers so far in 2005 -- the Tigers
should win this game. Given that Ball State is competent in no other
facet of the game, Auburn is virtually assured of a win. The most
interesting part of this game will be trying to guess which running
backs Auburn settles on for the remainder of the year.
Auburn
52
Ball State 10 |
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MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. TULANE (Shreveport, La.) |
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This game has
been moved to the Independence Bowl and the contest will be tied to
a telethon to support victims of Hurricane Katrina. This will be
Tulane's first game of the year, and if Southern Miss' first game
against Alabama was any indication, Tulane will be rusty. MSU is
1-1, beating Murray State in the opener and showing progress, but
falling completely back into their old ways against Auburn last week
and getting shut out. Things are shaping up for the Bulldogs as they
did in 2004, when MSU had a decent pass defense, an acceptable
rushing offense, and not much else. Tulane is talented enough to
beat Mississippi State, but one has to wonder where Tulane's heads
will be. Look for the experience MSU has so far in 2005 to play a
major role in the outcome.
Mississippi St. 24
Tulane 20 |
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IDLE: LSU |
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