Russia Invades Ukraine IX
- Thread starter crimsonaudio
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Yes, and they need to be educated as to their place as Russian serfs...
As with all debates, you have to define your terms.
This guy's definition of "fascism" is probably different from mine.
I imagine his definition of Humanity is different, too
Russia's McDonald's replacement has just one problem: it can't secure fries
It's the latest french fry crisis for Russia's answer to McDonald's hasty exit from the country.
What's the over/under for how long it takes Musk or another republican to follow suit or politicians to clamor for getting rid of "expensive" safety features required by the "socialists"?
Reminds me of the Trump administration.Russia's McDonald's replacement has just one problem: it can't secure fries
It's the latest french fry crisis for Russia's answer to McDonald's hasty exit from the country.fortune.com
The ISW map, showing areas of partisan activity.
The large area around Melitopol I had heard of Tokmak, I had not. There is an area around Energodar, which seems plausible, since partisans can he resupplied by water there.
There are a couple of small pockets of partisan activity around Velykye Burluk, Sievierodonetsk, and Kremninna in the north, and Kokhovka, Kherson and the Kherson airport in the southwest.
Overall, I assess that as way too little activity, way too dispersed to achieve the strategic objectives of ejecting the Russians from Ukraine.
This is a snapshot in time, not the final picture. To be effective, however, there is going to need to be a steady stream of Russian bodybags coming out of Donbas. Every Russian occupier needs to feel like he is living under the muzzle of a Ukrainian gun.
The large area around Melitopol I had heard of Tokmak, I had not. There is an area around Energodar, which seems plausible, since partisans can he resupplied by water there.
There are a couple of small pockets of partisan activity around Velykye Burluk, Sievierodonetsk, and Kremninna in the north, and Kokhovka, Kherson and the Kherson airport in the southwest.
Overall, I assess that as way too little activity, way too dispersed to achieve the strategic objectives of ejecting the Russians from Ukraine.
This is a snapshot in time, not the final picture. To be effective, however, there is going to need to be a steady stream of Russian bodybags coming out of Donbas. Every Russian occupier needs to feel like he is living under the muzzle of a Ukrainian gun.
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I understand we're all disgusted with the January 6 hearings last night. But not everything goes back around to Republicans or Donald Trump.
Let's keep the discussion at least remotely related to what's going on in Ukraine.
If you want to trash Donald Trump or Republicans, there are plenty of threads for that. Or you can start a new one.
Laying two trends one over the other,
“Teachers needed for [Zaporizhzhia] and Kherson regions for the summer period. 8600 rubles a day. ... Dear teachers, is there anyone else who wishes to help colleagues? It is safe in those regions."
Kherson is the most active region for Ukrainian anti-Russian partisan activity. For a Russian teacher indoctrinating Ukrainian kids on the glories of Russian citizenship, how hard of a target do you think he will be in the evenings?
Today, Estonia and Latvia have around 25% of their populations as Russian-speakers. Lithuania has around 6.8%. I asked a Lithuanian why that was. He told me Lithuanians were more effective at killing the Russian immigrants after the Second World War than the other Baltic states were. Stalin deported a Lithuanian family to Siberia, and then moved in a Russian family into the vacant house. At night, Lithuanian partisans would come to the house and murder the Russian family. Eventually, even Stalin stopped sending Russian families to Lithuanian houses.
I suspect that, before all is said and done, equally harsh tactics will be adopted by the Ukrainians in the Russian rear areas. A Russian teacher will be an easy mark.
Here is why Velykye Burluk was included on the map.
Russian mayor targeted with car bomb as anti-Russian anger grows in Ukraine: British intelligence
This is an example of how resistance is a nasty business.
Corruption concerns re: Ukraine
Something tells me this might come up in the Jimmy Dore Show tonight.
This is an interesting article on Russian logistics. By coincidence, CNN's Jim Sciuto interviewed the head of British MI6 this morning and his remarks tracked this article exactly...
Brzezinski
Brzezinski
The map shows the difficulty.
If you have 1,000,000 tons of ammo to move, and 1,000 deuce-and-a-half tucks, each truck need to move 1,000 tons. That means 400 trips per truck. If that trip is 40 km, the truck can do three or four trips a day. 1,000 tons requires 3+ months to move that much ammo.
Move the start point back to 200 km, and you get 1 trip a day. 1,000 trucks requires 14 months to move the same cargo.
Your throughput drops to 25-33% of what it was.
And, I know I am sounding like a broken record here, if Ukrainian partisans are ambushing convoys, you get even less and trucks become your limiting factor.
Ambushing ammo trucks, by the way, is appallingly easy.
Not only that, but the HIMARS system has undoubtedly driven the Russians' ammo dumps further back...
The Brzezinski article was, at least in part, about moving railheads out of HIMARS range.
I recall an anecdote about Rommel in North Africa. He launched his 1942 offensive from the southernmost point on the Gulf of Sirte (maybe 400 km from Tripoli), his ultimate objective was Alam Halfa, Egypt (1,800 km from Tripoli).
When Rommel's logistics officer saw the plan, he said, "You can't supply a panzerarmee there! It's too far from the port."
Rommel replied, "That's not my problem. That's your problem."
I bet the log guy said to himself, "Oh yeah? We'll see if it does not become your problem."
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Here is another story about resistance.
In Melitopol, Russian occupiers surprised at airfield and railway the mayor
If this type of activity continues and accelerates, Russia is going to be in trouble.
Railroad damage can be repaired fairly easily (the Germans became masters at in during the Second World War). Not sure why partisans would blow up railroads inside a city. The thing about railroads is that the traverse the countryside, where population density is lower and thus the ability to move undetected is higher.
In Melitopol, Russian occupiers surprised at airfield and railway the mayor
If this type of activity continues and accelerates, Russia is going to be in trouble.
Railroad damage can be repaired fairly easily (the Germans became masters at in during the Second World War). Not sure why partisans would blow up railroads inside a city. The thing about railroads is that the traverse the countryside, where population density is lower and thus the ability to move undetected is higher.
Interesting article. If the author is right, the next 45 days could get really interesting.
He mentions threats of nuclear weapons escalating as the predicted collapse unfolds. I’ve expressed surprise that Putin hasn’t already used tactical nukes. Whether he actually does so when he perceives nothing left to lose will be critical.
While it’s far from a certainty, you have to think this is a reasonably predictable possibility, and NATO has agreed on a response.
Surely to goodness we wouldn’t be caught off guard by the Russians tossing a tactical nuke. And I wouldn’t put the odds at zero that they’d use a strategic nuke on, say, Kyiv.
I had a teacher and later close friend who was a decorated Ranger combat artillery man in Vietnam. He said that it was impossible to win a war when “the people,” didn’t support it.
Being young and having most of my experience shaped by media coverage of domestic protests against the Vietnam war, it never occurred to me that he meant anything other than the US citizenry. I was wrong.
By, “the people,” my friend was referring to the people of Vietnam. As in, if the people of Vietnam didn’t support us, we couldn’t win. To hear my friend tell it, the significant majority of Vietnamese, especially those not in big cities, perceived Americans as just another group of round-eyes causing problems. English, French, American….all the same to them.
Point of all this being, there is a history of militarily superior armies losing wars because the local citizenry was intent on making their lives hard. US in Vietnam, Soviet Union in Afghanistan, and possibly now Russia in Ukraine.
I agree that damaging railroad tracks is more an annoyance to the Russians than anything else — with practice, they’ll get proficient at quick repairs. I don’t know whether eastern Ukraine has a material number of rivers. But if they do, it’ll be interesting to see if partisans start blowing up bridges.
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