Think the point about the current roster skepticism from some is like last year the team is based on potential. Some of us were talking pre season last year that it was the most unknown team because it was only a few players that had proven anything and portal players were not proven and heavy on potential. Ended up being very lucky Philon came back as all the transfers didn’t excel or even do well. Freshman did well yes, but you’re not winning a chip with a core of freshman. Which leads to this year, we lost a lot of players. Bringing in guys that we needed inside but no proven high caliber guys other than Fielder who I don’t think can carry a team every game. CNO had to have one of his best coaching years to cover for failed portal class last year and I think everyone is hoping that this class would be better overall. Not sure it is at this point and no one should want to rely on freshman potential.
Last year for the first time in CNO's tenure, our transfer players were largely unproven. Obvious they had potential, but unproven and it concerned me that we had changed approaches. It appears we're going that route again, but then again CNO targeted bigger guys on the whole this time around. On another side of the coin last year, only two of our incoming four HS recruits contributed to the team.
This year, any way we cut it, we'll be young. For all practical purposes we have 4 HS recruits again because Cloer was an early entry and didn't play at NCSU. In addition, we have less proven talent returning this year than last. However, the rating of this HS class vs. last year isn't close. IF Cloer was included in this class, we'd have four HS recruits in the top 40 and would be in the top 7 nationally. The last time we came close to doing that was in 2024 - the class with Sherrill, Philon, and Reid.
Overall, this is what CNO seems to be doing (obvious small sample size). He's no longer recruiting bigs out of HS. Instead, he's getting bigs through the portal - they're more "ready to play" in the SEC. Instead of getting "one of everything" across positions, he's playing a lottery with his HS recruiting. He's brought in 4 HS guys (including Cloer) who are 6'5" to 6'7" SG/SF types and betting that among them at least two will play like Allen did last year. IF you look at our expected output on the court this fall, I think you could predict this modest type of outcome:
* Allen (SG/SF) - excellent
* Jemison (SF/PF) - above average
* Bristow (PF) - average to above average
* Holloway - above average to excellent
* Fielder (PF-C) - average to above average
* Davis-Fleming (PF-C) - average
* Garrison (PF-C) - average
* Collins - no idea
* Two of Bouie/Cloer/Richardson/Samuels - above average
IF more than two of the incoming freshman step forward, we could be special. IF one of them blows up and becomes like Allen this year, we could be special. IF one of the Davis-Fleming/Garrison/Collins step up to "above average", we could be special. IF Jemison steps up to "excellent" we could be special. Compared to last offseason, I like what we have far more - particularly because we have volume now at the PF/C and SF/SG positions and can better weather injuries or a bust with one or two guys. It's definitely a change from CNO's previous groups - hopefully it works out like planned. RTR!