There's a lot of truth in what you say, though I think you may be overstating the case just a bit. Kiffin would have been gone for a lot of reasons, Sark as well. Jalen's weaknesses didn't cause those departures. Daboll's a pro guy, and his reputation as a recruiter was iffy. So I'm not sure if he would have left or not.
Recruiting was getting hurt, though we still ended up with a Top 10 class.
The frustration of the WRs probably would have led to more than one transfer.
And we did win our 5th NC in 9 years.
Still, I'm on record multiple times as believing that Jalen's towering strength -- ball security -- has become too expensive in terms of missed opportunities, especially against good to elite defenses. He's thoroughly diagnosed, and the best defenses make us one-dimensional with him under center. It's just that only a few opponents have the talent to execute what everybody in the stadium knows they need to do.
The deal is, it's the performances against those teams that delineate a good solid season from a championship one.
Tua won't be perfect. I have every expectation that, as they get more film, opponents will diagnose him as well. But he has such a skill set that they'll never make us one-dimensional because of QB play -- which they do with Jalen. Tua will make more turnovers than Jalen. But he will make infinitely more plays, and we'll have far fewer three-and-outs against opponents that matter. It's a price I'm willing to pay.
While I have no inside information whatsoever, Nick Saban is nothing if not a risk manager. I have to believe he sees that as well.
I understand there were underlying character flaws with Kiffin and Sark that were overriding factors in their leaving. I also agree that Daboll was a questionable recruiter but a decent OC who really had no experience in working with a QB like Jalen. A lot things can probably be said about Barnett but he was the only guy on the roster who could have pushed and potentially exposed the weaknesses in Jalen’s game. To me that QB competition in retrospect was poorly mismanaged and we likely were too quick to name Jalen the permanent starter. Essentially coach is getting another opportunity to get it right with Tua on the roster.
We were not good enough defensively in 2017 to win the SEC and not good enough defensively to win NC until Tua came in. Given our inexperience defensively this year, I don’t suspect that we will be good enough to with SEC or NC with Jalen’s inconsistent passing and ultra-conservative play.
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