Re: BCS Computer Rankings (as they are released)
Jerry Palm now says based on current numbers and projections, OK State must only pass Alabama by 5 points in the Harris Poll.
Edited: That would mean Ok State would be #2 by 5 points over Alabama. That seems like a very steep climb.
With the Coaches poll now confirmed, and assuming for the time being that the Staples tweet about Wolfe is accurate, we have a .9485 to .9268 lead in the Coaches' poll and a .9300 to .9500 deficit in the computer poll. If we earn at least 2690 Harris points (more accurately, no more than 4 Harris points less than OSU - my numbers match Palm), we're in.
In the Coaches, we lost 0.8505% from last week's total (1399 compared to 1411 last week). If similar losses are seen in Harris, we'll drop from 2756 to 2733. That means to drop below 2690, an
additional 21-22 Harris voters would have to flip their votes, on top of the 11-12 I expect. Not likely.
It's looking good. 2690 and we're in.
Of course if the Staples tweet proves inaccurate and we don't get a second #2 computer ranking, it's going to be an extremely close race.