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Video: Pate on potential CFP chaos

Honestly, I had not considered that the committee might punish Ole Miss for losing their offensive coaching staff, at least to the extent of knocking them out of the playoff. I would be shocked if that happened.
 
I don’t have any real confidence that the committee wouldn’t punish Bama for a loss vs Georgia in the SECCG, even though we already beat them in the regular season. SMU wasn’t punished AT ALL last year for losing to Clemson, and we were bumped because of it. But something tells me that they wouldn’t stick to that precedent should we lose in Atlanta.

Couple that with the fact that the BYU/Texas Tech scenario is a very real possibility. The two teams aren’t that mismatched, and BYU could very well notch the upset, putting both of them in the playoffs. In that scenario, a Bama win would probably result in Notre Dame missing out. But if we lose to a team we’ve already beaten and if BYU beats Texas Tech, we’d almost certainly miss out again.

As much as I love the SECCG, I’m starting to lean towards those who think we need to get rid of it, as it hurts the SEC on the whole on the national stage.
 
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arthurdawg said:
As pointed out in another thread... We claw back to sit atop the SEC rankings and are punished with another tough game which could boot us from the playoffs, while other teams are allowed to rest for a week assured of their slots!!!

Crazy.
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Agree up to a point. Those other teams (Oregon; Ole Miss; TAMU) don't have a second loss, let alone a bad OOC loss, however. If we had lost in week 1 to tOSU instead of FSU, I don't think we'd be in the same predicament. And yes, I agree that the strengths of schedule and of record should at least compensate for that if not more (Alabama's win v likely CFP #3 UGa is by definition the best win of the year); unfortunately, the committee has not yet seen it that way...
 
colbysullivan said:
It will be super telling if we are ahead of Notre Dame tonight. Basically, whoever is #10 tonight better PRAY BYU loses. If BYU wins, #10 is out. This format is absolutely retaeded.
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I think we’ll get an indication tonight if, for whatever reasons, the CFP Clown Troop moves Alabama “up” ahead of Notre Dame to #9 (sacrilegious I know). To me it could show these guys want to leave the “wiggle room” to put Alabama in even with a loss to UGa.

But you’re absolutely correct, last thing we need is a BYU upset of Texas Tech. It would absolutely put us out with a loss, even a close loss.

Edit: sorry @colbysullivan didn’t read your post closely. I’m basically just repeating what you posted. Totally missed your first sentence.
 
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There's no way they bump Bama past Notre Dame , if we lose to Georgia we are not going in with 3 losses, they don't have enough spine to do either of these things
 
Teams for sure in:

1) ohio state
2) Indiana
3) Georgia
4) Oregon
5) Texas Tech
6) TAMU

Teams MOST likely in

7) Ole Miss (depending what committee decides to do with them due to losing HC, OC, Co-OC, and WR coach)
8) Oklahoma
9) Notre Dame (makes me so mad)
10) Bama (though a loss to Georgia and a win by BYU means someones getting kicked, either ND or Bama)

Teams who will get in because of the way the system works
11) ACC champion
12) James Madison
13) BYU if they win, because texas tech wont be out

Teams this leaves OUT
1) Miami
2) Vanderbilt
3) Texas
 
first and foremost, like in any real game situation, never leave it to the refs to determine the outcome. beat Georgia like they stole your lunch money. we are in and seeded high.
secondly, if we lose, don't lose too badly and BYU must lose to Texas Tech for the 2nd time which i think they will esp. with their HC looking like the new Penn st new HC.
lastly, the committee better not back track on their criteria that a team WILL NOT BE PUNISH FOR LOSING THE CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME!!!!!!!!
 
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sanjosecrimson said:
first and foremost, like in any real game situation, never leave it to the refs to determine the outcome. beat Georgia like they stole your lunch money. we are in and seeded high.
secondly, if we lose, don't lose too badly and BYU must lose to Texas Tech for the 2nd time which i think they will esp. with their HC looking like the new Penn st new HC.
lastly, the committee better not back track on their criteria that a team WILL NOT BE PUNISH FOR LOSING THE CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME!!!!!!!!
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The problem we have is this committee has an “out”. They can say that was the position of the committee last year. This year can can simply assert they are “a different committee” and hold no such position.

The real quandary for this committee is talking out of both sides of their mouths when it comes to head to head among two loss teams. They have no problem placing a two loss Oklahoma (both losses in conference) ahead of Alabama after beating us in a two point game. But they have a two loss Notre Dame AHEAD of Miami, a team they lost to the second game of the year. So “head to head” means something unless you’re Notre Dame?

Additionally in most every metric, particularly strength of schedule, Alabama is superior.

It is ridiculous
 
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Isaiah 63:1 said:
Agree up to a point. Those other teams (Oregon; Ole Miss; TAMU) don't have a second loss, let alone a bad OOC loss, however. If we had lost in week 1 to tOSU instead of FSU, I don't think we'd be in the same predicament. And yes, I agree that the strengths of schedule and of record should at least compensate for that if not more (Alabama's win v likely CFP #3 UGa is by definition the best win of the year); unfortunately, the committee has not yet seen it that way...
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Yes... We all knew the FSU loss was bad and going to bite us.
 
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If they place Bama at 10 and say that teams won't be punished for the extra data point (conference championship) then it is clear what needs to happen going into the weekend (BYU loss...3 losses would be irrelevant in this scenario as they are ranking Bama ahead of others).

If they say performance in the conference championships will be considered then that will be equally telling (Bama better win or get passed by Miami, etc.).

Another X factor would be the committee dropping Bama due to Iron Bowl performance after the OK loss a few weeks before and justifying it saying that performance has dipped since mid-season form. That would mean Bama is being told win and get in, lose and go bowling.

Safest bets for the committee are either the first option or the third option. Those leave the least room for controversy after. The second option will lead to some significant controversy one way or another.
 
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