Russia invades Ukraine XV

[Tidewater]

I might as well start the next one.

Earle had said some of the Russian RTD troops are in no shape to serve.
In Nazi Germany in 1944, they actually had "stomach" battalions, units full of guys with Gastro-Intestinal injuries which caused dietary requirements, but they were still in uniform.
As for the Russians, I gather the MoD's attitude is to use them up and discard them unless lightly wounded. They only have twelve months with conscripts anyway.

 

[TexasBama]

UK Storm Shadow missiles used in major strike on Putin’s Black Sea Fleet in Crimea

The strike hit a submarine – the first successful attack on a Russian sub of the 18-month war – and a large landing vessel

www.independent.co.uk

 

[Padreruf]

Here's an incident from 2022 where a Russian pilot fired on a RAF jet but missed...rather inept I would say:

Rogue Russian pilot tried to shoot down RAF aircraft in 2022

The pilot fired two missiles - the first missed rather than malfunctioned, as was claimed at the time.

www.bbc.com

 

[TIDE-HSV]

UK Storm Shadow missiles used in major strike on Putin’s Black Sea Fleet in Crimea

The strike hit a submarine – the first successful attack on a Russian sub of the 18-month war – and a large landing vessel

www.independent.co.uk

This is Cooper's latest. After h is rant against the US military bureaucracy, he has some interesting questions about exactly how these missiles are getting through RF air defense systems...

Cooper

 

[TexasBama]

This is Cooper's latest. After h is rant against the US military bureaucracy, he has some interesting questions about exactly how these missiles are getting through RF air defense systems...

Cooper

I've read the Ukrainians sent 10 missiles. Could be they just didn't shoot them all down. I did read the Ukrainians took out a big anti-missile system in the Crimea, but that was today.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

I've read the Ukrainians sent 10 missiles. Could be they just didn't shoot them all down. I did read the Ukrainians took out a big anti-missile system in the Crimea, but that was today.

Obviously, they didn't. His question was "Why not?" They've sold their AA defenses over Crimea as practically an Iron Dome. Such is plainly not the case...

 

[TexasBama]

Obviously, they didn't. His question was "Why not?" They've sold their AA defenses over Crimea as practically an Iron Dome. Such is plainly not the case...

The anti missile system taken out today was using sea based missiles. As far as the naval base, You could assume maybe they did some of their drone magic in concert with that. I’m tiring some with Cooper’s reports. He crams one sentence of information into eight paragraphs.

ETA. An underlying assumption about the wonderfulness of the Russian anti missile systems is that the Russians can maintain and operate it.

 

[TexasBama]

Ukraine sea based attacks

Ukraine appears to be hunting Russia's formidable S-400 air defense systems in Crimea with modified Neptune anti-ship missiles

The Neptune is the same missile used to sink the Russian cruiser Moskva last year, but now it may be going after a new target.

www.businessinsider.com

 

[TIDE-HSV]

The anti missile system taken out today was using sea based missiles. As far as the naval base, You could assume maybe they did some of their drone magic in concert with that. I’m tiring some with Cooper’s reports. He crams one sentence of information into eight paragraphs.

ETA. An underlying assumption about the wonderfulness of the Russian anti missile systems is that the Russians can maintain and operate it.

I mostly scan down to the meat. He still has contacts and sources no one else has...

 

[TIDE-HSV]

Ukraine sea based attacks

Ukraine appears to be hunting Russia's formidable S-400 air defense systems in Crimea with modified Neptune anti-ship missiles

The Neptune is the same missile used to sink the Russian cruiser Moskva last year, but now it may be going after a new target.

www.businessinsider.com

I read last evening that the Ukrainians launched a diversionary drone attack on a ship and, when the S-400 paused to reload, took out its radar and antenna and then took out the the entire facility with modified Neptune missiles. They did the same back on Aug. 23. Each of these installations cost about $500 million, so, in a period of three weeks, they've lost about a billion in weaponry. Worse, the ISW speculates that the system is tactically flawed and the ZSU has found it and is exploiting it. The S-400 system is mainly what Russia is depending on to defend Crimea (and other territories). I'm sure they'll come up with a counter, but, at least on the short term, it looks bleak for Russia, particularly in Crimea...

 

[Tidewater]

I read last evening that the Ukrainians launched a diversionary drone attack on a ship and, when the S-400 paused to reload, took out its radar and antenna and then took out the the entire facility with modified Neptune missiles. They did the same back on Aug. 23. Each of these installations cost about $500 million, so, in a period of three weeks, they've lost about a billion in weaponry. Worse, the ISW speculates that the system is tactically flawed and the ZSU has found it and is exploiting it. The S-400 system is mainly what Russia is depending on to defend Crimea (and other territories). I'm sure they'll come up with a counter, but, at least on the short term, it looks bleak for Russia, particularly in Crimea...

I have seen open source reporting that the Achilles heal of the S-400 is its extended reload time. While reloading, it is a sitting duck.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

I have seen open source reporting that the Achilles heal of the S-400 is its extended reload time. While reloading, it is a sitting duck.

Yep, and that's exactly when they hit them. If they take out the S-400s and keep on damaging the airfields, Crimea could become non-defendable...

 

[TexasBama]

US may send limited number of ATACMS missiles to Ukraine — WSJ

The United States is nearing a decision on providing long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine, as reported by U.S. newspaper the Wall Street Journal on Sept. 15.

news.yahoo.com

These ACTAMS aren't particularly long range, and aren't being built anymore

 

[crimsonaudio]

I read last evening that the Ukrainians launched a diversionary drone attack on a ship and, when the S-400 paused to reload, took out its radar and antenna and then took out the the entire facility with modified Neptune missiles. They did the same back on Aug. 23. Each of these installations cost about $500 million, so, in a period of three weeks, they've lost about a billion in weaponry. Worse, the ISW speculates that the system is tactically flawed and the ZSU has found it and is exploiting it. The S-400 system is mainly what Russia is depending on to defend Crimea (and other territories). I'm sure they'll come up with a counter, but, at least on the short term, it looks bleak for Russia, particularly in Crimea...

They're quite clever.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

I might as well start the next one.

Earle had said some of the Russian RTD troops are in no shape to serve.
In Nazi Germany in 1944, they actually had "stomach" battalions, units full of guys with Gastro-Intestinal injuries which caused dietary requirements, but they were still in uniform.
As for the Russians, I gather the MoD's attitude is to use them up and discard them unless lightly wounded. They only have twelve months with conscripts anyway.

No longer true. The MOD announced today that mobiks are in for the duration of the SMO. No more rotation...

 

[Tidewater]

Yep, and that's exactly when they hit them. If they take out the S-400s and keep on damaging the airfields, Crimea could become non-defendable...

I think it takes the launcher 30 minutes to reload. A capable system, but if vulnerable while reloading.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

This is a Cooper installment with several theories about how the Ukrainians are finding holes in the RF radar network...

Cooper

 

[Its On A Slab]

I am not trying to hijack the thread, but I want to thank Earle and Tidewater (and others) for posting updates on the war in Ukraine. I come here for the latest more than I do CNN, etc.

 

[TexasBama]

Ukraine's forces recapture Klishchiivka

Ukraine’s forces have recaptured Klishchiivka less than 48 hours after it liberated the front line village of Andriivka, as it ramps up its efforts to take control over Bakhmut.

www.telegraph.co.uk

 

[Tidewater]

This might deserve its own thread, but it has a Russia-Ukraine connection.
The Pegasus spyware attack on Meduza
Naked Pravda is a English-language podcast on topics about Russia.
Pegasus is what the spyware’s Israeli designers market as a crimefighting super-tool against “terrorists, criminals, and pedophiles,” but states around the world have abused Pegasus to track critics and political adversaries who sometimes end up arrested or even murdered.
The software developers are "morally flexible", and comfortable selling licenses to unsavory customers. As long as they have the money.