If you do not think the IB performance hurt our chances with THIS committee then you have not been paying attention to their rankings and their comments. From the first poll 'til now, they have been looking for a reason to put Oregon and Texas in over Alabama. They both blew out their rivals and Bama struggled. That's just another notch in favor of them and not Bama for THIS committee.
A win over UGA will earn some points for Bama but, I don't think we jump Oregon if they win. Our only sure way in is for FSU and Texas to lose this weekend. It's a toss-up if Texas wins and this committee has been leaning Texas all year. I think it would be to close to call even with a win over UGA.
Basically, I think this is how the rankings will be Tuesday:
1 - UGA
2 - Mich
3 - Wash
4 - FSU
5 - Oregon
6 - Texas
7 - OSU
8 - Bama
I think the Wash/Oregon winner is in, 100%. This committee has been telegraphing this since the first ranking. Mich and FSU are in with wins. So, what happens if Bama beats UGA. It's Bama vs Texas and I think they will lean Texas. I know, I know, we would have just beaten #1 but, this committee has been hammering head to head for Bama/Texas and I don't think they will stop.
They have set H2H up to be the deciding factor for weeks, all but said so in interviews. I don't think they care who Bama beats, it could have been 10 top 5 teams. The Texas loss has done us in with THIS committee.
Maybe I will be proven wrong. I'm wrong most of the time. go find my IB predictions.