Alabama opens as a 2.5 point road favorite against LSU

[bamajas]

That experienced QB is also an interception machine. The secondary is young, but I wouldn't say that's our biggest weakness. They're young, but they're very talented, and they do get a good amount of picks. Nussmeier will get his yards, but he'll also give us the ball 2-3 times. If we can capitalize on those, then we win the game. If we can't, then we will lose

Agree. I think this is key. Our run D/pass rush are where the more consequential breakdowns have happened. Keeps drives alive and sets up the explosive plays

 

[DawgAlum2054]

Thank you all for the information

 

[Razorback40]

Typically a home game sways the spread around 6-7 points. Bama would be around -9.5 if it were to be played in Tuscaloosa.

everything i have read gives the home team a 3 point home field advantage. Maybe those crazy cajuns get an extra 3 at night

 

[Windsortide]

I kind of agree that UGA was overrated but I still would have thought they would have been a heavier favorite vs Ole Miss than we would be vs LSU with both of us going on the road

I won’t be surprised to see Ole Miss win.

 

[cbi1972]

I won’t be surprised to see Ole Miss win.

This would help us greatly in the SEC tiebreaker scenarios

 

[Windsortide]

This would help us greatly in the SEC tiebreaker scenarios

I have been keeping an eye on that also. All bets are off if we lose Friday.

 

[Ledsteplin]

Looks like Cole Adams is out for the season. We'll need a new punt returner. CKD wants a young one.

 

[cbi1972]

I have been keeping an eye on that also. All bets are off if we lose Friday.

yeah, no reasonably likely scenario sees a 3 loss SEC team in a playoff or championship game

 

[Windsortide]

yeah, no reasonably likely scenario sees a 3 loss SEC team in a playoff or championship game

I wonder what happens if an SEC team loses a third game in the SECCG?

 

[BhamToTexas]

I have been keeping an eye on that also. All bets are off if we lose Friday.

In basketball?

 

[BamaFan6462]

I think he has been under Kelly's regime for a while.

His dad being a coach and Alabama OC likely gives him some advantage, too, unfortunately.

 

[Evil Crimson Dragon]

I hope Nussmeier spends a great deal of time on his back looking up at the beautiful Louisiana sky.

I think the defense is hungry and tired of being criticized................I think the whole teams shows up and shows out

 

[PacadermaTideUs]

I'm somewhat shocked we're a favorite but at the end of the day Vegas is about the money so if there's too much money on one side they'll change the spread to get money on the other.

I’m glad you posted this early on. A popular misconception is that Vegas not only predicts margins of victory, but somehow does so with such uncanny accuracy that few individuals can outperform with any degree of regularity. Not so on either account. Vegas merely forecasts where the balance of betting money will fall. And when they see the bets coming in, they adjust accordingly to maintain that balance. Their skill is in predicting bettor behavior. It is the consensus of the betting public that is uncannily accurate to the degree that any one individual can rarely outperform the consensus with regularity.

As for the game, I never know what to expect from this team, particularly on offense. If first half vs Georgia shows up (you know - with milroe decisively slinging darts with accuracy) no team in the country can outscore us. But if the milroe from vandy, South Carolina and Tennessee shows up, it’s going to be a long night. We need to commit to the run also. We’ve got a stable of backs that are outstanding, some of the best in the country. The run/pass balance vs Tennessee was atrocious. By the time we’d faced Missouri, looks like we’d figured that out and corrected the problem. Got to take some of the heat and pressure off of milroe, who’s getting double-spied to take away his legs. If we’re leaning too heavily on the passing game on a night when milroe is inaccurate and his legs are nullified by defensive spies, well, we’re toast. Vandy beat us with its ball control inside option, which we seemed ill-prepared for. Our offense barely saw the field.