CFN: 2026 Rose Bowl Prediction: Alabama vs Indiana CFP Quarterfinal

The big 2 are set up nicely to win championships. Sure, they play no one but it keeps them fresh for the post season. You can bet that Indy is chomping at the bit to play Alabama. Now, whether that is true after a couple of series is another story. Pluck and Grit Baby!
 
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I'll be honest, I am not going to put any credence into any previews for this game, because I genuinely don't believe there is a college football expert that will be able to preview this game with any level of confidence for a number of reasons. The only two previews I will probably even read or listen to are the ones from Tidefans, because it is genuinely the most real preview for any Alabama game, and College Football Nerds, because they get heavy into the analytics and it will be interesting to see what their analytics say and their thoughts on how accurate those analytics are.

First, who knows what version of our offense will show up? We had essentially 8 straight quarters of awful offensive football between the 2nd quarter of the Auburn game until the 2nd quarter of the Oklahoma game. Then we decided to get serious and play well offensively. I think we actually might have a chance at running the ball against IU because I don't really know how well their defensive front stacks up to a top tier SEC defensive front, which is all we've faced for what feels like all season. Plus, I think the coaching staff has finally figured out that Daniel Hill is our best threat and can get yards and will be the bell cow for the rest of the playoffs.

I said this in another thread, but the Big 10 has really isolated themselves from the rest of the college football world. They had three noteworthy games outside of the conference this year (Texas/OSU, Mich/OU, and USC/ND). IU certainly has no games of significance outside of their conference schedule, and neither do the teams they have played other than Ohio State. Therefore, it's difficult to determine if they are a good to really good team or if they are a great team.

I think the only two knowns going into this game are that Alabama has an elite defense, and Indiana is well balanced on offense and defense. Outside of that, I thinks it's a complete crap shoot in terms of how well they matchup against one another.

I think Mendoza is a really good QB, and deserved the Heisman in a year that there just weren't any other dominant players. I think Cignetti is a great coach, and definitely a top 5 in college football. The Ohio State win is definitely impressive, but watching that game it was clear Ohio State had the better team, they just stubbed their toe too many times.

I just don't know how good they really are, not because it's Indiana, but because there is so little to measure their body of work against other than beating teams that are thought to be really good within their conference. I realize that the pushback on that will be that you can make the same argument for any SEC team, but I just feel like there are so many more non-conference power 4 games that the SEC plays versus how many the Big 10 does, that a significantly more educated conclusion can be drawn of how good or bad SEC teams are compared to the rest of the college football world.

If I may offer a shorter synopsis...

IN has played no one this year except for OSU, whom they barely beat. So we really don't have a picture of whether they're any good or not.
 
If I may offer a shorter synopsis...

IN has played no one this year except for OSU, whom they barely beat. So we really don't have a picture of whether they're any good or not.
Going to Oregon and winning by 10 (while throwing a pick 6, nonetheless) is a top 3-5 win this season. They beat Oregon more handily than we beat UGA in Athens

We played a tougher schedule, by far, but it's inaccurate to say they played "no one"
 
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I am going with 27-21 Indiana just because we have played 14 games this year and haven’t played a complete 4 quarters of football on both sides of the ball all year. If you are going to beat the number 1 ranked team you will need to do that. Maybe this is the time they finally do though.
 
IF Bama shows up and plays anywhere near their capability, I don't think IU can win. They just don't have the horses to compete with the team talent.

We've seen this before and we've seen when teams like Bama show up and lay an egg, but the reality is Indiana hasn't faced a team with the overall talent level that Bama has this year. OSU is close, but only UGA has a higher team composite ranking.

If DeBoer has the team ready, the Tide will Roll.
 
Going to Oregon and winning by 10 (while throwing a pick 6, nonetheless) is a top 3-5 win this season. They beat Oregon more handily than we beat UGA in Athens

We played a tougher schedule, by far, but it's inaccurate to say they played "no one"
OK…they play a weak schedule…the whole B1G does…it’s not even close to comparable to an SEC conference schedule…every week is a huge physical test in the SEC…
Caleb Downs was asked about the difference…flat out said you have to play every week in the SEC…B1G is only a few games a year!!! That’s the captain of the reigning National Champions…admitting his conference is weaker…
 
Going to Oregon and winning by 10 (while throwing a pick 6, nonetheless) is a top 3-5 win this season. They beat Oregon more handily than we beat UGA in Athens

We played a tougher schedule, by far, but it's inaccurate to say they played "no one"
I think the jist is only playing two physically challenging teams for your entire schedule doesn't compare to an Alabama who had to physically get up for 75% of their schedule which takes a physical toll. Its likes to runners running the 60 yard dash and ones running on flat surface and the other uphill. Theyre not comparable.
 
OK…they play a weak schedule…the whole B1G does…it’s not even close to comparable to an SEC conference schedule…every week is a huge physical test in the SEC…
Caleb Downs was asked about the difference…flat out said you have to play every week in the SEC…B1G is only a few games a year!!! That’s the captain of the reigning National Champions…admitting his conference is weaker…

I think the jist is only playing two physically challenging teams for your entire schedule doesn't compare to an Alabama who had to physically get up for 75% of their schedule which takes a physical toll. Its likes to runners running the 60 yard dash and ones running on flat surface and the other uphill. Theyre not comparable.
Thanks for the help, gentlemen

What did I say that was inaccurate?

When I mentioned "schedule," it was to say that ours was more difficult
 
Indiana plays two maybe three decent opponents (Oregon, PSU, OSU) and struggled with the last two.

It could well be that they wilt under the bright lights of the Coliseum (I realize the Rose Bowl is a daytime game; it's a metaphor). Then again, nobody on this Alabama team has played in a game this big. Ty and some of the upperclassmen were on the team that lost to Michigan a few years ago, so those "bright lights" work both ways.

Still, I think this season, the Crimson Tide have had their backs against the wall and showed resilience by pulling things out, whereas the Hoosiers have coasted to the Bowl Game.
 
IF Bama shows up and plays anywhere near their capability, I don't think IU can win. They just don't have the horses to compete with the team talent.

We've seen this before and we've seen when teams like Bama show up and lay an egg, but the reality is Indiana hasn't faced a team with the overall talent level that Bama has this year. OSU is close, but only UGA has a higher team composite ranking.

If DeBoer has the team ready, the Tide will Roll.
To your point about team talent… I wonder if anyone has the numbers on how many of the 13 JMU transfers are in this years 2 deep
 
I don't understand the media narrative that Oklahoma gave us the game in Norman, therefore we don't deserve to be in the quarter-finals. Without doubt, OU's mistakes, both by commission (punter bobbles a perfect snap, and Mateer throws the pick-6), and omission (dropped pass) played in.

But so did ours. Germie's dropped pass, which was also underthrown by Ty. Then Ty missing Cuevas for an easy TD when he expected pressure that didn't come, he had all day, and still missed a wide open Cuevas.

Plus, nobody was saying that we gave OU the game in Tuscaloosa despite us throwing a pick-6 and two other fumbles setting OU up. The Sooners had only 7 true offensive points then. But the narrative is that OU marched into the mouth of the Balrog and squashed an Alabama team that hadn't lost since August.

Look, Indiana deserves to be favored. They're 13-0, including beating Oregon on the road early and tOSU late in the B1G's CCG. Those are impressive wins. Still, they're running their mouths, their coach has an ego to rival Lane Kiffin's -- Google him -- and they played 2 games all year, with forever to get ready for both of them. Credit the Hoosiers for what they've accomplished....the most successful season in program history.

When we were somewhere approaching healthy, we ran off a pretty decent string ourselves. Five straight SEC games four of which were against then-ranked teams. Three of the five which were on the road. One of those was UGA's only loss of the season thus far.

We're slowly getting healthier, and the downtime is helping us tremendously. Meanwhile, Indiana will have gone almost a month since their last game. A week off is helpful, especially if you're banged up. 25 days off will likely leave your team rusty, especially when your team spends the time reading press clippings that no one in the history of your program has ever experienced.

I'm not saying we'll outclass IU. I'm saying they won't outclass us. They might win. They might not. But to say that it's a foregone conclusion, or that it requires IU to yak up a hairball for us to have a prayer is just wrong.
 
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These pickers don't know what we know about this Bama team. Indy may win, but they're gonna know they've been in a fight. A fight they haven't experienced all season.
 
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Indiana plays two maybe three decent opponents (Oregon, PSU, OSU) and struggled with the last two.

It could well be that they wilt under the bright lights of the Coliseum (I realize the Rose Bowl is a daytime game; it's a metaphor). Then again, nobody on this Alabama team has played in a game this big. Ty and some of the upperclassmen were on the team that lost to Michigan a few years ago, so those "bright lights" work both ways.

Still, I think this season, the Crimson Tide have had their backs against the wall and showed resilience by pulling things out, whereas the Hoosiers have coasted to the Bowl Game.
If I may offer a shorter synopsis...

IN has played no one this year except for OSU, whom they barely beat. So we really don't have a picture of whether they're any good or not.
I agree that the Hoosiers' lack of being really challenged heretofore is one of the intengibles in predicting this game. Still Coach Cig is a good coch and will doubtless letting his men know they have to maintain focus and intensity.
 
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Yeah I saw it yesterday. I think there is a lot of trust that Indiana is really the great team that the media is making them out to be and Alabama is a has been living on borrowed time. I just don’t think Indiana can handle the stage.
Reminds me of ‘92 season when game was against Miami! Just keep the rat poison coming… yummy!
 
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