CFN: 2026 Rose Bowl Prediction: Alabama vs Indiana CFP Quarterfinal

Going to Oregon and winning by 10 (while throwing a pick 6, nonetheless) is a top 3-5 win this season. They beat Oregon more handily than we beat UGA in Athens

We played a tougher schedule, by far, but it's inaccurate to say they played "no one"
We will see how good Oregon is January 1. I have also found them suspect due to their poor SOS.
 
We will see how good Oregon is January 1. I have also found them suspect due to their poor SOS.
I fell asleep during the JMU game (bad I guess since I'm a JMU alum) when it was like 34-6 or something and woke up the next day to see it was 51-34 and it apparently was not all "trash time" points by JMU either.

Looks like OR QB threw two INTs in the second half and JMU outscored them like 28-17 or something.

OR is good but they must not be that good if they let the Dukes hang around and score 4 TD's on them in two quarters.
 
I fell asleep during the JMU game (bad I guess since I'm a JMU alum) when it was like 34-6 or something and woke up the next day to see it was 51-34 and it apparently was not all "trash time" points by JMU either.

Looks like OR QB threw two INTs in the second half and JMU outscored them like 28-17 or something.

OR is good but they must not be that good if they let the Dukes hang around and score 4 TD's on them in two quarters.
JMU's last TD was a garbage TD. The game was over at that point.
 
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I am honestly stunned at the point spread. It sounds like Indiana's dominance of some of the bad teams on their schedule have skewed the numbers and thrown off the Vegas algorithms. I just cannot fathom that they would be that much of a favorite. I'll give them credit, they did beat the two good teams they played, so they're a very solid team. They're fundamentally sound and well-coached. But what are we, chopped liver? According to the College Football Nerds' model, the average win expectancy of our schedule for your average top 25 team is 6-8 (6-6 regular season), and we went 10-3, so I don't know how many teams in the playoff would even be in the playoff at all with our schedule. Georgia is the only one I can almost guarantee would. Would Indiana? No clue. The talent level says they couldn't, but they're a good football team, so I guess you never know, but from my POV, that spread seems insanely high. I hope we have enlarged pictures of the point spread plastered around the building this week.
 
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Going to Oregon and winning by 10 (while throwing a pick 6, nonetheless) is a top 3-5 win this season. They beat Oregon more handily than we beat UGA in Athens

We played a tougher schedule, by far, but it's inaccurate to say they played "no one"
As others pointed out, it's just not the same "grind" as the SEC.

That win against Oregon is elite. The win against Penn. St., which they barely won, was NOT. I guarantee we are a better team than Penn. State, even with all our flaws!

Their biggest win against TOSU is a head-scratcher to an extent. They "hold" them to only 10 points. But, watching the replay, TOSU runs up and down the field on them. The Buckeyes have to be kicking themselves for not capitalizing on their chances in that game.

BTW, TOSU outgained them through the air 264 to 222. But they struggled to run the ball...58 to 118. Sound familiar??? Yet, they had all the chances in the world to score more points.

I hope we learn a great lesson from this. Don't waste a lot of downs on running the ball for 1-2 yards. Put the ball in Ty's hands and let him go to work against Indy's defensive backfield.

Make no mistake, Indy is a very good team. But IMO, this game will come down to how we play. We bring the right effort, intensity, attention to detail, ball security and effort and we are capable of winning this game!
 
Looking a little deeper into TOSU. Their lowest scoring games this year:

10-13 against Indy
14-7 over Texas
24-6 over Washington
27-9 over Michigan

Asking for a friend, IS IT POSSIBLE THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY IS NOT AS GOOD AS SOME EXPERTS THINK???
 
The more I look into IU and TOSU...the B1G 2 conference...I feel a lot more confident that Bama can win this game!!!

I don't think we are nearly the "underdog" the national narrative is predicting!
 
I am honestly stunned at the point spread. It sounds like Indiana's dominance of some of the bad teams on their schedule have skewed the numbers and thrown off the Vegas algorithms. I just cannot fathom that they would be that much of a favorite. I'll give them credit, they did beat the two good teams they played, so they're a very solid team. They're fundamentally sound and well-coached. But what are we, chopped liver? According to the College Football Nerds' model, the average win expectancy of our schedule for your average top 25 team is 6-8 (6-6 regular season), and we went 10-3, so I don't know how many teams in the playoff would even be in the playoff at all with our schedule. Georgia is the only one I can almost guarantee would. Would Indiana? No clue. The talent level says they couldn't, but they're a good football team, so I guess you never know, but from my POV, that spread seems insanely high. I hope we have enlarged pictures of the point spread plastered around the building this week.
There are some who expect Indiana to blow us out by three touchdowns.
 
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