The threat of invasion already has Samsung and Taiwan Semi investing heavily in the US. Disruption of supply from Taiwan would hurt the Chinese as much as any other country.If the Taiwanese computer chip plants are shut down, global commerce will slowly grind to a complete halt, so if I were them, I'd use that massive leverage.
Yep.Quietly arm the Taiwanese to the teeth with our best weapons.
Add to that that Taiwan actually means something substantial to the the US industrial and military complexes and it will be show time...If Xi didn't learn anything from the Ukraine affair, he deserves what he gets...
Well Taiwan is probably a dumber target than Ukraine. Amphibious assaults are really hard to pull off. If he tries it then he is either banking on the world doing nothing and/or Kim keeping the Americans busy. Both are high risk low reward gambles that Deng would have never tried.If Xi didn't learn anything from the Ukraine affair, he deserves what he gets...
That's the reason I say that the realization from Ukraine that the rest of the world won't just sit on their collective hands has been a valuable lesson to Xi. It would be rough surgery on us for a while, but China would lose its largest markets...Well Taiwan is probably a dumber target than Ukraine. Amphibious assaults are really hard to pull off. If he tries it then he is either banking on the world doing nothing and/or Kim keeping the Americans busy. Both are high risk low reward gambles that Deng would have never tried.
Should we officially drop the (false) narrative of 'one China'?Add to that that Taiwan actually means something substantial to the the US industrial and military complexes and it will be show time...
Should never have been the narrative in the first place.Should we officially drop the (false) narrative of 'one China'?
97% of the world's semiconductors are made in Taiwan.Add to that that Taiwan actually means something substantial to the the US industrial and military complexes and it will be show time...
It was a (for the sake of) business decisionShould never have been the narrative in the first place.
97% of the world's semiconductors are made in Taiwan.
Losing Ukraine would hurt the world economy. Losing Taiwan would be devastating to the world economy.
Kissinger then Nixon met the Chicoms.tricky dick ftw
the other day on the radio i heard a run down of our diplomatic relations with china since ww2 or before and it made my head spinKissinger then Nixon met the Chicoms.
The Carter Administration signed Taiwan Relations Act of January 1, 1979.
Xi always has tried to present himself more in line with Deng than Mao, but it’s weird that he keeps trying to play around with the idea with taking Taiwan militarily. Especially when Deng believed economic power trumps the military conquest. Sure every leader of China has to say “Taiwan belongs to us” but most of them use it as lip service or have it very low on their priority list. But Xi really does seem very committed to the idea.That's the reason I say that the realization from Ukraine that the rest of the world won't just sit on their collective hands has been a valuable lesson to Xi. It would be rough surgery on us for a while, but China would lose its largest markets...
i mean the position of the UN before recognizing the Beijing government was kind of ridiculous. The Taipei government was the legitimate government of all of China, and was just having some difficulties enforcing its authority in a portion of its territory (i.e. the mainland). I dislike communists as much as anybody, but that position was ridiculous.the other day on the radio i heard a run down of our diplomatic relations with china since ww2 or before and it made my head spin
I'm still often found wondering what real purpose the UN serves - starting Monday North Korea will chair the UN disarmament forum on nuclear weapons. It's a rotating position (alphabetically) but the fact remains that stuff like this (and China being elected to the UN Human Rights Council) makes me consider how laughably gutless / pointless the UN actually is.i mean the position of the UN before recognizing the Beijing government was kind of ridiculous. The Taipei government was the legitimate government of all of China, and was just having some difficulties enforcing its authority in a portion of its territory (i.e. the mainland). I dislike communists as much as anybody, but that position was ridiculous.
It also proved that the UN can eject a government from the Security Council a fact which might be useful today..