Najee Harris Draft Position

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4Q Basket Case

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I just don't think the situation's as settled as I thought it was a couple of days ago...
Looked at this link for the rookie pay scale. This is last year's, but I think it'll serve for this purpose:

https://heavy.com/sports/2019/04/nfl-draft-pick-salaries-contracts-signing-bonuses/

There's not a ton of difference between 7th round and the 4th round. Some, but not a huge percentage.

That starts to change in the 3rd round (particularly the top half of the 3rd), and there's a distinct difference for 2nd round.

I don't think 1st round is a realistic possibility for Najee, no matter how long he stays in college. So if I were him, it would be a question of whether I could realistically improve my position into the 2nd or 3rd round.

If so, I could make several hundred thousand dollars by staying. If not, there's no reason to stick around. Might as well get paid now, even if it's less than what I envisioned three years ago.
 

teamplayer

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With the development and addition of other RBs, I don't know if NH would get as many touches next year. He had a very good year for us this year and capped it off with a very good performance in the bowl game. I don't know if his stock will get any higher than it is right now. It is possible that he could come back and improve his grade, but it is also possible he could come back and see his grade slip a bit if he doesn't duplicate this year's results. I say he chooses to go.
 
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B1GTide

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Looked at this link for the rookie pay scale. This is last year's, but I think it'll serve for this purpose:

https://heavy.com/sports/2019/04/nfl-draft-pick-salaries-contracts-signing-bonuses/

There's not a ton of difference between 7th round and the 4th round. Some, but not a huge percentage.

That starts to change in the 3rd round (particularly the top half of the 3rd), and there's a distinct difference for 2nd round.

I don't think 1st round is a realistic possibility for Najee, no matter how long he stays in college. So if I were him, it would be a question of whether I could realistically improve my position into the 2nd or 3rd round.

If so, I could make several hundred thousand dollars by staying. If not, there's no reason to stick around. Might as well get paid now, even if it's less than what I envisioned three years ago.
The biggest difference - players who are drafted on Day 1 or Day 2 are given more time to develop, and given more assistance in the endeavor. They are high profile draft picks. There is a reason that teams get more time to make picks in these early rounds. The players are more highly valued, so there is more trading and jostling for position. Once you drop into the 4th round, the players become more and more of a "number" than a person.

The more valued, the greater chance you will make it to your 2nd contract, and for RBs, it is all about the second contract.
 

Bamabuzzard

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But there's a HUGE difference in opportunity and patience between a 4th rounder and a 7th rounder. An NFL team will cut a lower round player just because some higher up woke up in a bad mood. The higher a player can get drafted the more opportunity they can afford themselves.

Looked at this link for the rookie pay scale. This is last year's, but I think it'll serve for this purpose:

https://heavy.com/sports/2019/04/nfl-draft-pick-salaries-contracts-signing-bonuses/

There's not a ton of difference between 7th round and the 4th round. Some, but not a huge percentage.

That starts to change in the 3rd round (particularly the top half of the 3rd), and there's a distinct difference for 2nd round.

I don't think 1st round is a realistic possibility for Najee, no matter how long he stays in college. So if I were him, it would be a question of whether I could realistically improve my position into the 2nd or 3rd round.

If so, I could make several hundred thousand dollars by staying. If not, there's no reason to stick around. Might as well get paid now, even if it's less than what I envisioned three years ago.
 
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rgw

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My guess is that Najee Harris is going to return for 2020. The business side of all this must have taken him aback. He probably felt like he was at least one of the best at his position but the analysis on where he will probably be drafted this year surprised him. I'd bet that he was mentally already seeing himself in the draft this April so it is a big decision for him to recenter on another year in college.
 

Bamabuzzard

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My guess is that Najee Harris is going to return for 2020. The business side of all this must have taken him aback. He probably felt like he was at least one of the best at his position but the analysis on where he will probably be drafted this year surprised him. I'd bet that he was mentally already seeing himself in the draft this April so it is a big decision for him to recenter on another year in college.
Also, it's too much of a risk to not pad yourself a big margin of error for "just in case" on draft day it doesn't go the way you thought. It's one thing having a draft grade of 2nd/3rd round and fall to 4th. It's quite different to have a 4th round grade and fall to 6th. I think he'd be wise to try to work his draft grade up to a 2nd/3rd round.
 
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CoolBreeze

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With the development and addition of other RBs, I don't know if NH would get as many touches next year. He had a very good year for us this year and capped it off with a very good performance in the bowl game. I don't know if his stock will get any higher than it is right now. It is possible that he could come back and improve his grade, but it is also possible he could come back and see his grade slip a bit if he doesn't duplicate this year's results. I say he chooses to go.
Two things would help Harris if he decides to come back. The first is that he has to stay healthy. The second is that we have to make the playoffs and potentially play for a National Championship. The perception of him playing on a championship team as the starting RB would help him tremendously. He has to play well, of course, but the cast of characters around him could really help him regardless of whether he gets less touches. And you know we are going to use him in the passing game and their ain't nothing more beautiful than seeing Najee trucking down the sideline in the open field after catching the ball coming out of the backfield.
 
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TIDE-HSV

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Let's cut out the replies to posts which were made about Tua before he announced. That has its own thread and it's confusing. I've deleted the ones I could find and will continue to delete Tua posts. Please post in the correct thread...
 
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