Very good coach, very good staff, continuity, very good recruiting, and a schedule that is 80% JV opponents...that makes late season runs more likely.
Again, I just don't "get" what's being said here. "Oh, the ACC is a horrible conference." I'll grant that point.
But nobody wanted to say that when it was Florida State playing in the title game (and losing it more often than not) every year. Nobody wanted to say this about the Pac Ten when USC was winning a bunch of Pac Ten titles in a row, either.
Has anyone saying this actually LOOKED at Alabama's 1979 schedule? EIGHT of the other nine SEC teams had (wait for it) FIVE losses. In an 11-game schedule. Two teams lost TEN GAMES, and those were two of the Tide wins. And yet this is the "greatest Alabama team of all-time" and "one of the greatest in history" or so goes the hype. I lived through it and it WAS a very good team, but they didn't play anyone substantial like, say, they did in 1978.
Or what about the 1966 schedule, the one where the piles of excuses get higher each time the story is told? No, we didn't schedule La Tech because Tulane left the SEC, we actually broke off the game with Tulane in May 1964 (back when SEC teams made their own conference schedules) and replaced them with Southern Miss. I realize, of course, we're slightly comparing apples and oranges because a lot of what went on was a refusal of teams to play Alabama because of the racial issues of the time.
We played two good teams in 1966, and we struggled to beat one and didn't exactly blow out the other one. And we ran the table. Make no mistake, the team was a very good one and did have a blowout win over a good (for that time) Nebraska team. But where is all the "but they don't play anybody" argument there?
If you're basically running up the win total by playing inferior competition then it comes out in the playoff wash. Nobody gets to avoid anyone tough once they make it. One can simply compare the divergences of the careers of Dabo versus Tom Osborne (who is still considered a legend and is so long as you don't examine his record too closely prior to 1994).
Remember that until 1989, Osborne's foes had to finish the year ranked in the Top 20, and I only count teams that ENDED the year in the final poll:
1973: 4-2
1974: 1-1
1975: 1-2
1976: 3-2
1977: 2-1
1978: 1-3
1979: 1-2
1980: 2-2
1981: 2-3
1982: 3-1
1983: 1-1
1984: 3-1
1985: 0-3
1986: 1-1
1987: 2-2
1988: 2-2
1989: 0-2
1990: 0-3
1991: 1-2-1
1992: 2-2
1993: 4-1
Since he took over mid-season, we'll start with Dabo at the beginning of 2009:
2009: 1-3
2010: 0-3 (narrow loss to national champion Auburn)
2011: 3-1 (wins first ACC championship)
2012: 1-2
2013: 1-2*
2014: 1-3
Now up to this point, Clemson hasn't REALLY faced a tough schedule at all. Their 2013 schedule was slightly more difficult than national champion Florida State's was. But nobody said a single word about "but FSU doesn't play anybody."
2015: 4-1, national runner-up
2016: 6-0, national champions (4-0 vs top 20)
2017: 4-1
2018: 4-0, national champions
2019: 1-1, national runner-up
Now while I don't agree, the press story is that Tom Osborne, 2nd Son of Mary mild, was a great coach. But then remember some things:
- Osborne inherited a team that had won the national championship as freshmen (when they couldn't play) and sophomores when they could; Dabo inherited a Tommy Bowen team that had spent years underachieving.
- Osborne's record vs ALL top 20/25 teams was 36-39-1. Subtract Devaney's recruits (73-75) and Osborne was 30-34-1 against ranked teams.
- Dabo is 26-17 overall and - if you drop Bowden's recruits (2009-11), he's 22-10 against ranked teams.
That's pretty damned good no matter who you are - because we're talking about AT THE END OF THE SEASON, so you know the ranked team was good. (Dabo twice beat Auburn when they ranked and got no credit because they ended the year out of the rankings).
And Dabo, of course has cashed in a couple of his national title opportunities much earlier in his career despite having a more difficult road to attain it. Of course, the immediate objection is going to be: "but you can't count the playoff teams in your overall assessment."
OK, we'll drop the playoffs. He's 13-0 since 2015 and 20-14 including the Bowden recruit years.
It is TRUE that in 2019 Clemson did not face a single foe worth a damn in the regular season.
That, however, is not something you can apply to every year nor is it true across the board.
It isn't Dabo's fault that:
a) Frank Beamer got old and retired
b) Miami stinks
c) Fisher left for the SEC
d) Spurrier retired
e) Maryland (whom Dabo beat regularly) left for the Big Ten
f) Bobby Petrino was a one-hit wonder with Lamar Jackson