Some facts to ease your mind re: Bama/UGA

[TideEngineer08]

GA does not want to go fast. They want to limit the number of possessions that Alabama has. The faster they go, the more chances Alabama has to score TDs.

Little Kirbs thinks its still 2009.

 

[BearFoot]

Thanks Coach.....I appreciate the information and the confidence

 

[AlexanderFan]

When Georgia gets a TD this year they average 8.3 yards a play on their TD drives and it takes them on average 8.4 plays to get a TD.

When Bama gets a TD this year they average 12.6 yards a play (50% higher than UGA) and it takes them only 6.4 plays to get a TD.

So Georgia rarely scores quickly from far away.

UGA scores a TD on 35.7% of their drives with Stetson Bennett IV at QB when they're trying to score (so not at the end of the half or game when they're running clock)

Bama scores a TD on 71.4% of their drives with Mac Jones trying to score. That means Bama is literally twice as likely to score on any given drive than UGA so far this year.

UGA has a good defense. Probably the best in CFB. However, these are the QBs they've played Felipe Franks (lost his job at UF), Bo Nix, and Jarrett Guarantano (has lost his job like 20 times).

Bama's defense has faced Connor Bazelak/Shawn Robinson, Kellen Mond, and Matt Corral.

I think if Bama doesn't turn it over and/or give UGA short fields Bama should be able to score more than UGA.

UGA has a few ways to win, but Bama can win several ways. I could see Bama winning this big. I don't see how UGA wins big under normal circumstances.

I’ve seen these on Facebook. Jeff is obviously in trouble because he’s doing something totally out of character.

HELP IS ON THE WAY!!!!

 

[UAH]

I think this game is different. I think the longer the game or the more they played the more likely Bama is to win.

Imagine if Clemson had Stetson Bennett IV as their QB.

When tied or trailing:

Bennett - 24/42 (57%) for 275 yards and a TD for a QB rating of 120.0

Jones - 34/42 (81%) for 533 yards and 3 TDs for a QB rating of 211.1

I think people are forgetting who is QB for UGA. Remember the 2015 game? Do you remember who was UGA's QB that day? It wasn't Aaron Murray or Jake Fromm. It was Grayson Lambert.

I think Stetson Bennett is more Grayson Lambert than Aaron Murray or Jake Fromm.

An analyst on Talkin Ball this morning said the if we took the very best of the offensive players off Tennessee, Auburn and Arkansas and put them on a team they would not be nearly as good as Alabama is offensively. Add to that the fact that Stetson Lambert's stats do not compare favorably at all to Matt Corral we begin to understand that Georgia is no offensive juggernaut.

 

[JayBama_in_PCOLA]

If BAMA wasn’t so injured in 2018 we would have been in that game in the end.
I think BAMA has something for UGA that they’ll least expect.

 

[crimsonaudio]

The Tide will Roll!

 

[Ole Man Dan]

We win the first half, maybe...
A healthy Alabama team should dominate the 2nd half.

Addition:
I was right...

 

[Tug Tide]

My prediction:
Halfway through the fourth, down 10, Kirby looks for Coach Yeah Yeah to tell him to try some special teams magic. Only to find him holding up four fingers with the Bulldog cheerleaders. By the time Kirby finishes scratching his head and straightening his headset, Bama is up 17.

 

[CoachJeff]

The first half was sketchy, but the defense tightened up and the game ended up not being close.

 

[cuda.1973]

My prediction:
Halfway through the fourth, down 10, Kirby looks for Coach Yeah Yeah to tell him to try some special teams magic. Only to find him holding up four fingers with the Bulldog cheerleaders. By the time Kirby finishes scratching his head and straightening his headset, Bama is up 17.

Foiled! We were already up 17 by the time the 4th rolled around.

RTR!

 

[NoNC4Tubs]

I don't really put a lot of stock in last week's game vs Ole Miss. In 2016, Ole Miss beat Bama in game 3, scoring 43 points and gaining over 500 yards on offense. Bama went on to beat UGA 38-10 in Athens in game 5, and then won the national championship. I'm hoping last week was an anomaly.

It was...

 

[Tug Tide]

Foiled! We were already up 17 by the time the 4th rolled around.

RTR!

Hahahaha
I was closer than Jess for once

 

[Ole Man Dan]

The first half was sketchy, but the defense tightened up and the game ended up not being close.

Now I'm really mad.
Our Defense played a good game tonight.
What I want to know is where the heck they have been.

 

[cuda.1973]

Sandbagging....................

 

[B1GTide]

@CoachJeff called it. Props.

 

[DanoCanuck]

When Georgia gets a TD this year they average 8.3 yards a play on their TD drives and it takes them on average 8.4 plays to get a TD.

When Bama gets a TD this year they average 12.6 yards a play (50% higher than UGA) and it takes them only 6.4 plays to get a TD.

So Georgia rarely scores quickly from far away.

UGA scores a TD on 35.7% of their drives with Stetson Bennett IV at QB when they're trying to score (so not at the end of the half or game when they're running clock)

Bama scores a TD on 71.4% of their drives with Mac Jones trying to score. That means Bama is literally twice as likely to score on any given drive than UGA so far this year.

UGA has a good defense. Probably the best in CFB. However, these are the QBs they've played Felipe Franks (lost his job at UF), Bo Nix, and Jarrett Guarantano (has lost his job like 20 times).

Bama's defense has faced Connor Bazelak/Shawn Robinson, Kellen Mond, and Matt Corral.

I think if Bama doesn't turn it over and/or give UGA short fields Bama should be able to score more than UGA.

UGA has a few ways to win, but Bama can win several ways. I could see Bama winning this big. I don't see how UGA wins big under normal circumstances.

This post aged well.

 

[colbysullivan]

My prediction:
Halfway through the fourth, down 10, Kirby looks for Coach Yeah Yeah to tell him to try some special teams magic. Only to find him holding up four fingers with the Bulldog cheerleaders. By the time Kirby finishes scratching his head and straightening his headset, Bama is up 17.

Not too far off...

 

[deltatider]

What a game!

 

[JayBama_in_PCOLA]

The Tide will Roll!

And Roll they did.

 

[spock*]

Time of possession is wildly overrated and really doesn't have anything to do with predicting success.

In the past 4 years none of the teams that made the playoffs finished in the top 25 in time of possession.

In fact, in the past 4 years the highest any champion has finished in TOP was LSU (54th) ahead of Clemson 2018 (96th), Alabama 2017 (74th), and Clemson 2016 (55th).

It's a different game now. TOP does not matter to a team's success.

Wrong again, my friend!

Alabama won TOP by 8 minutes because Alabama ran 56% of the time and controlled the clock. Alabama can’t afford to wear down their defense and expect a goal line stand to win the game.

Alabama had three drives with 8 plays or more in the second half. The last two 10 play drives put it on ice and burned 11 minutes off the clock.

With today’s spread offense, TOP is more important than it’s ever been. Ole Miss had 4 drives with 7-16 plays in the second half against Alabama. Fortunately, the rebels were kicking field goals on the last two drives. Ole Miss won TOP by 4 minutes and had inferior players.