I thought I would take a look at the stat comparison of Bama and the barn versus the opponents we both played. We have both played 5 teams: Arkansas, Miss st, Ole Miss, LSU, & South Carolina.
Offense:
Against those teams, Bama's offense has:
Rushed 198 times for 866 yards, 4.4 average.
Passed 148 times with 81 completions and 2 ints, for 861 yards, 5 TDs, long of 46.
Against those teams, the barn's offense has:
Rushed 216 times for 827 yards, 3.8 average.
Passed 148 times with 85 completions and 2 ints, for 1130 yards, 9 TDs, long of 38.
Conclusion: These offenses are about equal, even with the loss of Prothro. Neither makes a living nor makes big plays off of the passing game. However, if Brodie had some time, he could be making those big plays. Cox has, for the most part, had the time, but has just not performed. The bottom line is that, against the same 5 teams, these offenses are statistically very close.
Defense:
Against those teams, Bama opponents have:
Rushed 148 times for 449 yards, 3 yard average.
Passed 159 times with 77 completions and 6 ints, for 782 yards, 3 TDs, long of 31.
Against those teams, barn opponents have:
Rushed 157 times for 471 yards, 3 yard average.
Passed 141 times with 82 completions and 3 ints, for 805 yards, 2 TDs, long of 45.
Conclusion: Both defenses have played well against the common opponents, and are as close statistically as the offenses are. The barn has more of a tendancy to give up bigger passing plays, but they are still very equal.
This game, statistically, is a toss-up. Even without Prothro (as most of our games against these opponents were played after we lost Prothro), these two teams are very equal. They beat the same teams, and lost to the same team, which both easily could have beaten.
I think this game comes down to one thing: hunger. Who wants it more. The barn has all but been eliminated from contention for the SEC West race. Even if they beat Bama, they in all likelyhood don't go to Atlanta (LSU would have to lose both games). And, with two losses, a BCS bowl is highly unlikely. If Bama wins, we have a great chance at a BCS bowl, and with an LSU slip-up, are playing in Atlanta for the SEC crown.
This could play two ways: Bama is more fired up than the barn and plays above their heads, or two, there is more pressure on Bama and they play poorly.
Right now, I don't know who wins this game, but I think we have just as good a chance to win as the "the most talented team the barn has ever had" does.
Offense:
Against those teams, Bama's offense has:
Rushed 198 times for 866 yards, 4.4 average.
Passed 148 times with 81 completions and 2 ints, for 861 yards, 5 TDs, long of 46.
Against those teams, the barn's offense has:
Rushed 216 times for 827 yards, 3.8 average.
Passed 148 times with 85 completions and 2 ints, for 1130 yards, 9 TDs, long of 38.
Conclusion: These offenses are about equal, even with the loss of Prothro. Neither makes a living nor makes big plays off of the passing game. However, if Brodie had some time, he could be making those big plays. Cox has, for the most part, had the time, but has just not performed. The bottom line is that, against the same 5 teams, these offenses are statistically very close.
Defense:
Against those teams, Bama opponents have:
Rushed 148 times for 449 yards, 3 yard average.
Passed 159 times with 77 completions and 6 ints, for 782 yards, 3 TDs, long of 31.
Against those teams, barn opponents have:
Rushed 157 times for 471 yards, 3 yard average.
Passed 141 times with 82 completions and 3 ints, for 805 yards, 2 TDs, long of 45.
Conclusion: Both defenses have played well against the common opponents, and are as close statistically as the offenses are. The barn has more of a tendancy to give up bigger passing plays, but they are still very equal.
This game, statistically, is a toss-up. Even without Prothro (as most of our games against these opponents were played after we lost Prothro), these two teams are very equal. They beat the same teams, and lost to the same team, which both easily could have beaten.
I think this game comes down to one thing: hunger. Who wants it more. The barn has all but been eliminated from contention for the SEC West race. Even if they beat Bama, they in all likelyhood don't go to Atlanta (LSU would have to lose both games). And, with two losses, a BCS bowl is highly unlikely. If Bama wins, we have a great chance at a BCS bowl, and with an LSU slip-up, are playing in Atlanta for the SEC crown.
This could play two ways: Bama is more fired up than the barn and plays above their heads, or two, there is more pressure on Bama and they play poorly.
Right now, I don't know who wins this game, but I think we have just as good a chance to win as the "the most talented team the barn has ever had" does.
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