Trump attacks Iran (was "Help is on the way")

[crimsonaudio]

BREAKING: The Israeli army announced the killing of the commander of the Lebanese Corps of the Quds Force, a special unit of the IRGC. The IDF said the Israeli Air Force carried out a strike in Tehran, killing Daoud Ali Zadeh, the acting commander of Iran’s Lebanese Quds Force Corps. According to the Israeli military, Zadeh was the highest-ranking Iranian commander responsible for Lebanon. The corps served as the link between Hezbollah and the Iranian regime authorities.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028900287709123012

 

[CrimsonJazz]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028873506402767084

 

[crimsonaudio]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028917715579089335

 

[Its On A Slab]

Why don't they just use beepers instead of... oh... never mind....

And the mullahs never heard of Zoom meetings, I guess.

I'm listening to a podcast that features an Israeli military expert, and he's almost disappointed in the mullahs for making it so easy. He can't believe how stupid they were.

 

[92tide]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028917715579089335

i’ve been to meetings in that building before

 

[92tide]

And the mullahs never heard of Zoom meetings, I guess.

I'm listening to a podcast that features an Israeli military expert, and he's almost disappointed in the mullahs for making it so easy. He can't believe how stupid they were.

they could always try semaphore code. it was good enough for withering heights /s

 

[75thru79]

And the mullahs never heard of Zoom meetings, I guess.

I'm listening to a podcast that features an Israeli military expert, and he's almost disappointed in the mullahs for making it so easy. He can't believe how stupid they were.

Boomers and Technology. Like oil and water.

 

[dayhiker]

 

[CrimsonJazz]

Mojtaba Khamenei, the hardline 56-year-old son of Iran’s late dictator and a close ally of the Revolutionary Guards, has reportedly been named Supreme Leader. He was recently injured and will likely continue to be a target of Israeli assassination attempts

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028937491151990939

 

[M Squires]

It is interesting isn't it that Mossad has assets in every imporant point in the world. Yet a short time ago a relatively small number of Hamas and Palestinian extremist penetrated Israel at the border in Gaza then comitted many atrocities and took numerous prisoners back to Gaza. How did that happen!

Because Hamas is trying hard too.

 

[Bazza]

And the mullahs never heard of Zoom meetings, I guess.

I'm listening to a podcast that features an Israeli military expert, and he's almost disappointed in the mullahs for making it so easy. He can't believe how stupid they were.

Someone this morning said they were tracking the body guards, amongst other things.

 

[crimsonaudio]

Rest in peace...

 

[Tidewater]

A kooky idea that Trump continues to float. He's trying to normalize the idea so that when he attempts it, people just go along with it as they did in 2020.

Okay, fair enough.
Let me put it this way. If there are no congressional elections in November 2026, I will make a donation of $100 to the charity of your choice. If there are elections in November of 2026, you make a donation to a charity of my choice.
I am as certain that they will take place as the sun will come up tomorrow.
Trump may wish it, but there is simply no mechanism for stopping elections and enforcing that policy.

There are plenty of things to worry about. This is not one of them.

 

[AWRTR]

A kooky idea that Trump continues to float. He's trying to normalize the idea so that when he attempts it, people just go along with it as they did in 2020.

When the 2026 elections take place I'm coming back here for some fun posts, and if they don't I'll throw in with you.

 

[Huckleberry]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028979703013626164

Johnson: The idea that a few colleagues here would try to move a war powers motion and resolution to the floor right now is dangerous. It plays right into the hands of the enemy. I think it's shameful.





Why does Johnson not want to follow the Constitution? Maybe America has more than one enemy in this fight.

 

[Huckleberry]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2028660634032779444

SHEEHY: Democrats are defending the Ayatollah

COLLINS: Who is?

SHEEHY: Elizabeth Warren's former campaign manager

COLLINS: I don't know who that is. But Elizabeth Warren is not defending the Ayatollah

SHEEHY: The NYT published an obituary describing him as 'avuncular cleric'

COLLINS: I think that was the Washington Post. But that's not a Democrat

 

[4Q Basket Case]

The real problem I have with the war -- BTW, is it a war if Congress doesn't declare it? I guess so. The Vietnam War was never declared -- is that victory was never defined up front.

As in, what is the goal? How do you define when it's achieved? And the corollary, "When and under what circumstances do we stop putting American military lives on the line?"

Right now, the justification is that the Iranian government is a bunch of bad guys. I don't dispute that. But so is the government of a bunch of other countries. Yet we haven't attacked them.

Why have we attacked Iran (and only Iran), and under what circumstances will the attacks stop and the ships and planes and pilots and support staff and sailors come home?

We (the American public) don't know. I seriously doubt that Trump himself knows. And even if he knows right this second, that has no bearing on his thought processes a minute / hour / day / week / month from now. He's so erratic that I promise you the generals and admirals don't know how this ends.

All that said, and without defending Sheehy's logic or presentation, the Washington Post is no less a Democrat than FoxNews is a Republican.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

Well, Trump and his lawyers are not under my control.
But to float a fanciful conspiracy theory about the future (which is nonfalsifiable) is also a bit disengenous.
When Trump somehow orders states to cancel elections and states for some reason comply and the November 2026 elections are actually cancelled somehow, then let me know. I'll join you on the ramparts.
Until then, it's just a kooky idea.

I actually expect some unenforceable EO along the lines being discussed - ordering everyone to re-register and banning absentee ballots...

 

[81usaf92]

The problem still remains… what is the goal here?

The Trump loyalists have constantly said “regime change” but once they found out that Iran’s government was more than an 80 something year old man they are on their back foot trying to pivot from sounding stupid.

There is a reason Dubya didn’t go to war with Iran, and there is a reason why Obama didn’t either. We are seeing the reason play out. 1) Iran is more like Turkey and Saudi in their ability to take a punch than Iraq and the Taliban government in Afghanistan ever was and 2) an attack on Iran would create an existential crisis amongst the regime in which they are going to go for broke to disrupt commerce in the entire Middle East.

So again… what is the goal here?

 

[4Q Basket Case]

The problem still remains… what is the goal here?

[...] an attack on Iran would create an existential crisis amongst the regime in which they are going to go for broke to disrupt commerce in the entire Middle East.

So again… what is the goal here?

What is the goal indeed? Nobody, including our President, knows.

On the disruption of commerce (particularly oil...which, if the region didn't have, the rest of the world would tell them to pound sand -- pun intended) I'm not worried. So far, the damage has been mostly confined to non-energy infrastructure. Even if that changes, production is still there. Just not transport to refineries.

Current actions could cause a temporary (3-6 month) spike in oil and gasoline prices. Maybe even panic buying reminiscent of toilet paper during COVID. But thanks to fracking, the US can (1) supply its own needs, and (2) shore up a lot of the world's supply. Might be a minute to get capped wells back online, but we'd get there pretty quick.

Side note: I've always thought of fracking as a national security issue.

Yeah, $5 gasoline will make headlines and Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders will screech that poor people are starving their infant children to buy gasoline and we should tap the Strategic Reserve.

All in the same breath with which they're denying drilling and pipeline permits and the expansion of refineries.

But it won't be a long-term (7-18 month) impediment. We'll be OK.