If you Google up "The Chess Games of Paul Morphy," and then you work through his most outstanding games, you may come upon something similar to what this Threadstarter has asked here.
A poster asks regarding Morphy's demolishing of one of his many European opponents in a particular game during the 1850's, "At what point do you think the opponent lost the match to Morphy?
One poster answers, "When he sat down across the chessboard from Paul Morphy."
I think that it was such a foregone conclusion that Nick Saban was going to win if Alabama got him to come here, that the point at which the program turned around was when Saban agreed to leave Miami to come here.
In the article by Peter Finney, which was discussed here yesterday, Finney told of how Saban, when he was interviewed for the LSU job, matter-of-factly told the LSU officials something like "I will win a national championship at LSU in five years." And, Saban said, "I can't win a national championship at Michigan State."
That tells me that when Saban was offered the Alabama job by Mal Moore, it clicked in Saban's head, something like, "I can win X-number of national championships at Alabama." Or, maybe, "I can win a national championship in three years at Alabama."
Saban may have meant that because of the University of Michigan's presence, he could never recruit well enough at Michigan State to win a national championship. And when he took the Alabama job, he must have thought that he could recruit at least as well at Alabama as he had done at LSU.
We would probably all agree that, in the history of college football, you could count on one hand the number of coaches who have had such confidence in their ability that they honestly believed they could win a national championship within three to five years after they got to a place, particularly when the program was in the shape it was at either LSU OR Alabama.
Remember what Paul Bryant said when he first talked with his first class of recruits at Alabama -- the Pat Trammell, Charley Pell group? "I could tell by looking at them that they would win the national championship. That was in 1958. They won it in 1961.
Coach Bryant and Coach Saban both have said something to the effect that winning, or success, comes from the PREPARATION to win, to succeed. Mal Moore PREPARED for the turnaround at Alabama when he went off down to Miami to hire Nick Saban.