Good, fair, level-headed, fact-based analysis. I hope you’re right on the win total. I might have gone one less, just figuring that among several close games, we lose another one — particularly vulnerable in the Barn where weird stuff has happened way too many times.
For a lot of reasons, we’re a better team than 2024. Since I don’t see anybody being undefeated, that implies 10-2 or 11-1. My take is flip a coin. Either way, in the playoffs.
Late Add: My main concerns with this team are at RB and TE. Despite having highly recruited backs, we haven't had a good all-purpose guy you can count on for a tough yard in some time. I'm not sure how much of that was the OL and how much was the RBs. Regardless, our running game hasn't been good in a while now.
TE -- also no difference-makers since Irv Smith. Some could catch but weren't effective blockers. Some were road-graders who had hands of stone. Then for two years you had a QB constitutionally incapable of checking down to secondary receivers. The TE is a big part of DeBoer's offense. For it to click, the TE has to be at least passably effective.
I think QB will be OK. Maybe even above average. Ty needs to mature into keeping the last play in the history category. To now, he's had a tendency to take on a "poor me" or "poor us" thought process when things don't go according to plan. Being in his 4th year in the program, he should have matured out of that. If he hasn't by now, I'm not sure he ever will. If that's the case, next man up.