If the sec leaves the ncaa the acc will disband after their current tv deal and a 24 team sec will absolutely overshadow whatever the big ten can cobble together. There’s no big names left in the big 12 nor left in the acc teams after we pillage the 8 we want. Heck we could take the top 7 and Tulane for history’s sake and still come out on top. The big ten already made their play taking the pac 12 schools. I actually hope if there’s no cba this happens just to show the rest of the country no one outside the rust belt and Los Angeles gives a you know what about the big ten
I think this all depends on what the SEC is trying to accomplish.
To me the real long play here is for the Big 12, the Big 10 and the SEC to leave the NCAA and form their own 16 team football playoff (I hate one that big, but it is what it is) and 32 team basketball playoff. The SEC and Big 10 would cherry pick the ACC and basically force the Big 12 to take the relevant remaining teams.
I've tried to go over the teams and the math, but I just can't fit all the "bluebloods" and major powers in the SEC and the Big 10. For instance you alluded to 24 SEC teams, that's 8 additions.
Can you really come up with 8 teams that belong in the SEC? That should get a full share of revenue? Remember we're not just talking about sharing post season revenue, but TV revenue.
To me, I can only think of 4 programs outside of the Big 10 that are truly worthy of inclusion. North Carolina, Virginia, Notre Dame, and FSU. I'd grumble a bit about FSU, but the numbers do back those up. Everything else is diminishing returns.
Now if the SEC really gets the foolhardy idea to do their own league, suddenly they are trying to grab the former football powers of the ACC to pretend they're better at football then they are (an illusion that won't last long once they rack up losing records in the SEC). I just don't see how that works though. You can pretend Virginia Tech is something they're not, but a bunch of teams with .500 records will be the end result of that debacle.