CFP poll week 2 (Nov 9) prediction, results...

CoolBreeze

Hall of Fame
Sep 18, 2002
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58
Hoover
I'm not paying much attention. It's obvious that if Bama wins out we have nothing to worry about.
True Dat! Only thing is not sure how many more games this group can get up for. Arky is going to be a tough game but we really have to get up for the Auburn game on the road. Then there would potentially be the SEC Championship game we'd have to play the best game of the season to get into the playoff. After that, two more games to get through against the stiffest of competition and a potential rematch with UGA. Just seems like too steep of a mountain for this year's team and I am optimistic by nature.
 

BamaMoon

Hall of Fame
Apr 1, 2004
22,873
20,916
282
Boone, NC
True Dat! Only thing is not sure how many more games this group can get up for. Arky is going to be a tough game but we really have to get up for the Auburn game on the road. Then there would potentially be the SEC Championship game we'd have to play the best game of the season to get into the playoff. After that, two more games to get through against the stiffest of competition and a potential rematch with UGA. Just seems like too steep of a mountain for this year's team and I am optimistic by nature.
Tough road for sure starting with Arkansas after this week's much-needed pushover.

The talent is there to do it. I'm just concerned about where the team's mind is in relation to toughness, finishing and overcoming all the mistakes we continue to make.

There's certainly no more room for a half-butt performance like we saw against LSU. If we don't bring it for 3 straight games we don't see the CFP this year.
 
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4Q Basket Case

FB|BB Moderator
Staff member
Nov 8, 2004
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Tough road for sure starting with Arkansas on the road after this week's much-needed pushover.

The talent is there to do it. I'm just concerned about where the team's mind is in relation to toughness, finishing and overcoming all the mistakes we continue to make.

There's certainly no more room for a half-butt performance like we saw against LSU. If we don't bring it for 3 straight games we don't see the CFP this year.
We get Arkansas at home on the 20th. It’s the barn on the road the following week.
 

buckeyeFB_

3rd Team
Jun 24, 2019
204
706
117
So head to head doesnt matter? Michigan leapfrog MSU...SO logical.....
There are so many inconsistencies when it comes to how much they value head-to-head.

Penn State, Auburn, and Wisconsin are all 6-3, and Penn State beat BOTH Auburn and Wisconsin this season. Despite that, Auburn is ranked #17 and Wisconsin is ranked #18 while Penn State is unranked.
 

buckeyeFB_

3rd Team
Jun 24, 2019
204
706
117
Oregon didn’t look great against Washington
Ohio State struggled with Nebraska
Cincy couldn’t put away Tulsa
Last time we saw Michigan, they lost to MSU
Michigan State just lost to Purdue
Oklahoma is undefeated but unimpressive
Notre Dame is okay but not the #2 team

So despite Alabama struggling vs LSU, everyone else besides UGA struggled too.
Exactly -- people are getting way too upset about Bama being ranked #2, as if there's some other "correct" choice out there for who should get the #2 spot. As you said, literally every team near the top aside from Georgia has their own problems.

I'm not really sure who people think is so much more deserving of the #2 spot than Bama.
 

scrybe

3rd Team
Sep 6, 2019
242
143
67
Some OU fans I know want to now scrap the playoff system altogether and go back to pre-1998 and allow the AP voters to choose the NC. They basically think Bama and OU should swap places in the poll and simply don't understand the role that SOS plays with the committee. But they will in about 5 years....
I would guess that I know quite a few more OU fans than you know, and not a single one of them believes one word of that poll-swapping nonsense. What they do believe is that Oklahoma should have climbed one, possibly two spots after what happened last weekend. In any case, I can't quite fathom why fans of the No. 2 team in the CFP rankings should give a rats rear end what No. 8 thinks? ;)
 

scrybe

3rd Team
Sep 6, 2019
242
143
67
There are so many inconsistencies when it comes to how much they value head-to-head.

Penn State, Auburn, and Wisconsin are all 6-3, and Penn State beat BOTH Auburn and Wisconsin this season. Despite that, Auburn is ranked #17 and Wisconsin is ranked #18 while Penn State is unranked.
Bingo. If that doesn't tell us pretty much all we need to know about the committee and its rankings …
 
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teamplayer

Hall of Fame
Jul 31, 2001
7,925
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Exactly -- people are getting way too upset about Bama being ranked #2, as if there's some other "correct" choice out there for who should get the #2 spot. As you said, literally every team near the top aside from Georgia has their own problems.

I'm not really sure who people think is so much more deserving of the #2 spot than Bama.
I'm with you. I don't think we are within two touchdowns of last year's team even if we play our best, but if we play our best, we can beat any other team out there this year. Of course, if we play like we played last Saturday, any of those top 10 teams could beat us. People just like to complain.
 
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buckeyeFB_

3rd Team
Jun 24, 2019
204
706
117
I'm with you. I don't think we are within two touchdowns of last year's team even if we play our best, but if we play our best, we can beat any other team out there this year. Of course, if we play like we played last Saturday, any of those top 10 teams could beat us. People just like to complain.
The way I see it, the only choices for #2 are Alabama and Oregon, and I'd pick Alabama in a neutral-site game against Oregon without hesitation.

Oklahoma has a tougher stretch coming up here with consecutive games @ Baylor, vs Iowa State, @ Oklahoma State, and then probably the Big 12 Championship. They have a chance to show that they're deserving of a spot in the top-4 but, as it currently stands, I don't think they should be in the top-4.
 
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Power Eye

All-SEC
Aug 3, 2005
1,417
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I was listening to sports talk radio here in Atlanta yesterday and the guy who heads-up Dawgnation was on and said that he fully expects Georgia to win the SEC and national championship, and the real question is where do they go after this year. Can they build something similar to Alabama and Clemson.

I couldn't believe what I was hearing. Until Georgia actually wins a national championship, I can't believe that any supporter would take for granted that they are going to win it all this year. I'm not going to say that this is the belief of the majority of the fans, but there is definitely some growing sentiment that anything short of a national championship for them this year is a complete failure of biblical proportions. Don't get me wrong, they are very good but so were we in 2013, 2016 and 2018 at this point in the season.

I'm not saying Georgia can't win it all this year, but we can definitely beat them, and so can whomever else makes the playoffs. Texas A&M can beat them as well if we can't get past Auburn. I was just dumbfounded by someone who covers UGA would say something so idiotic.
 

twofbyc

Hall of Fame
Oct 14, 2009
12,222
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The Top 4 is no surprise. I expected the teams right behind Michigan State to move up a spot. I'd say Georgia is a lock right now for one of the playoff spots. If they lose the SECCG they're still in. I'd say the winner of OSU/UM will be the B1G champion and also qualify. Oregon will probably win the PAC 12 and also be in. That leaves Alabama, Cincinnati and possibly Oklahoma for the remaining spot. If we beat Auburn and Georgia we're in and the other two are out. If we lose and OU loses then Cincinnati gets the final spot. The committee is acting like they are going to give Cincy every chance possible to get in so I actually think it's possible they'd pick an undefeated Cincy over an undefeated Oklahoma, although some might disagree. OU has been a failure in past playoffs because of their defense and statistically Cincy is much better defensively than OU so it could influence their decision. Do I think Cincy deserves to get in? Absolutely not! I'm just reaching a conclusion based upon the current behavior of the committee.
You’re probably right, but if they think Cincy is the 5th best team in the country after Saturday, I’d have to question their decision process. They probably caved to pressure. I can list six teams below Cincy right now I’d take straight up to beat them.
 
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TideEngineer08

TideFans Legend
Jun 9, 2009
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I was listening to sports talk radio here in Atlanta yesterday and the guy who heads-up Dawgnation was on and said that he fully expects Georgia to win the SEC and national championship, and the real question is where do they go after this year. Can they build something similar to Alabama and Clemson.

I couldn't believe what I was hearing. Until Georgia actually wins a national championship, I can't believe that any supporter would take for granted that they are going to win it all this year. I'm not going to say that this is the belief of the majority of the fans, but there is definitely some growing sentiment that anything short of a national championship for them this year is a complete failure of biblical proportions. Don't get me wrong, they are very good but so were we in 2013, 2016 and 2018 at this point in the season.

I'm not saying Georgia can't win it all this year, but we can definitely beat them, and so can whomever else makes the playoffs. Texas A&M can beat them as well if we can't get past Auburn. I was just dumbfounded by someone who covers UGA would say something so idiotic.
This is Georgia we are talking about. It's been their year every year since 1980. Garrison Hearst was the next Herschel Walker, until Knoshawn Mareno, until Todd Gurley, until Nick Chubb, and so on and so forth.
 

jashleyren2

1st Team
Aug 27, 2018
778
603
117
Just like the Heisman race, the CFP race is still just in a "hold" pattern, pending the remaining games, including the conference title games. Everything will settle out by then. I think the worst situation for CFP hopefuls is if Alabama were to upset the Dawgs. I expect Alabama to enter that game as the underdog, and I actually think that will be good for this team.

The Iron Bowl and the Ohio State Michigan games, basically are going to determine 3 out of 4 spots in the final CFP, heading to those games. Nice semi-final games, if you will. Georgia is, assuming they win out. Winner of Alabama/Auburn goes to play them. Only Alabama can beat UGA and expect to be in. A Michigan win over OSU will take them out of consideration, and make the Big 10 lean on a Michigan Big 10 conference title victory to have a "lock" on another spot. A Michigan loss to a Big 10 east team would leave that conference potentially out to dry. Any OU loss here on out takes them out, and same for Pac 12. Cincinnati just needs to keep winning, by a little, or a lot.
Might I add, Notre Dame is creeping around again, too.
 

deliveryman35

Hall of Fame
Jul 26, 2003
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I would guess that I know quite a few more OU fans than you know, and not a single one of them believes one word of that poll-swapping nonsense. What they do believe is that Oklahoma should have climbed one, possibly two spots after what happened last weekend. In any case, I can't quite fathom why fans of the No. 2 team in the CFP rankings should give a rats rear end what No. 8 thinks? ;)
I lived in the state for 10 years. I know quite a few. They’re frustrated but also lack a basic understanding of the mission and criteria of the selection committee, which is a little surprising to me.
 

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