Yep, but I think that HI and Vandy are both better than 5 teams still on our schedule this year. We get 7, the question is whether or not we get more. We have been beating the teams that we are supposed to beat (even if we keep them agonizingly close). I just wish that the piggies could be included in that group. Right now, I'd say that they will likely be favored...No such thing as an 'automatic win' the way we're playing so far. The first two 'automatic wins' almost weren't.
I think we're *this* close to blowing things wide open, but the concerns we discussed all off-season are rearing their heads now...
I think all the underdogs will win in these three games.Aubs favored by 2.5 over LSU (surprised Barn isn't a bigger favorite)
Hogs favored by 6 over Vandy
Florida favored by 4 over Tennessee
I think LSU will win. I see Florida beating UT.I think all the underdogs will win in these three games.
I don't think Bama can score 24. Maybe not even 1/2. The offense is not so good and the defense is suspect at best.Aubs favored by 2.5 over LSU (surprised Barn isn't a bigger favorite)
Hogs favored by 6 over Vandy
Florida favored by 4 over Tennessee
There is no such thing as a lock. It's gambling. The bookies are not stupid. They set the lines to even the bets on both sides - the line has nothing to do with the quality of the teams.Because of Bama's 2 subpar performances Vegas has set a very low line (24.5) for this game. If you are a gambler, and I am, take Bama -24.5 and take em hard. THIS IS A LOCK.
Um, wrong.Because of Bama's 2 subpar performances Vegas has set a very low line (24.5) for this game. If you are a gambler, and I am, take Bama -24.5 and take em hard. THIS IS A LOCK.
What?? The line has everything to do with the quality of the teams. I agree with you that there are no locks, but the lines are set (as you point out) at a level that will even out the bets on both sides. Most folks who gamble on sports pay close attention to the quality of the teams, and thus the lines are a good gauge of that -- or at least a good gauge of the perceived quality of the teams.There is no such thing as a lock. It's gambling. The bookies are not stupid. They set the lines to even the bets on both sides - the line has nothing to do with the quality of the teams.
Do yourself a favor - don't bet on sports...
What?? The line has everything to do with the quality of the teams. I agree with you that there are no locks, but the lines are set (as you point out) at a level that will even out the bets on both sides. Most folks who gamble on sports pay close attention to the quality of the teams, and thus the lines are a good gauge of that -- or at least a good gauge of the perceived quality of the teams.
I set lines for a few years, and I was very good at it. When I set the lines, I did so with only one goal in mind - getting even money on both sides.What?? The line has everything to do with the quality of the teams. I agree with you that there are no locks, but the lines are set (as you point out) at a level that will even out the bets on both sides. Most folks who gamble on sports pay close attention to the quality of the teams, and thus the lines are a good gauge of that -- or at least a good gauge of the perceived quality of the teams.
I would disagree with that. There are locks, but they they don't necessarily come along every week. You have to look for them though. Most of the time, they are in the under/overs rather than the point spread. For example, the Louisville-Kentucky game this year had the over-under as 59 points. Meanwhile, Louisville has averaged 59 points at home over the past 2 years by themselves. Kentucky has a pretty crappy defense and had no chance of stopping the Cardinals offense. Meanwhile, Kentucky's offense played well towards the end of the season. Needless to say, I am slightly richer because of that one.There is no such thing as a lock. It's gambling. The bookies are not stupid. They set the lines to even the bets on both sides - the line has nothing to do with the quality of the teams.