Is there a scenario where we still back into the playoffs?

[B1GTide]

What happens if UT crushes UGA? How far does UGA drop with 3 losses?

It is possible that they would drop them behind Alabama, but doubtful.

 

[countrytider]

Clemson is 17th now, and the committee doesn't like their resume or record. With a win they would make the CFP as an automatic qualifier, but stay behind Alabama. SMU would drop behind them and out of the race altogether. The winner of the Big 12 would also remain behind Alabama. This places Alabama at 10.

Are we in regardless of what happens in your opinion??

 

[Cruloc]

Clemson is 17th now, and the committee doesn't like their resume or record. With a win they would make the CFP as an automatic qualifier, but stay behind Alabama. SMU would drop behind them and out of the race altogether. The winner of the Big 12 would also remain behind Alabama. This places Alabama at 10.

The top 4 conference Champs jump to the top 4. My understanding in your scenario would be Boise jumping to 3, big 12 jumping to 4, and Clemson at 12.

And if UNLV won, Big 12 goes to 3rd, Clemson to 4, UNLV in at 12.

Or maybe I'm just confusing myself here.

 

[crimsonaudio]

Not sure I follow, CA. Discussing blue blood privilege and brand bias is Kanell speak? I really don’t like that guy, so.. En Garde!

I need proof of this 'blue blood privilege' - I see some folks bandy this about but they never provide proof. To prove it, show us where a more deserving team was left out so a so-called blue blood could be allowed in. And since it's apparently a given (meaning common), please provide multiple examples. TIA

 

[crimsonaudio]

Are we in regardless of what happens in your opinion??

Not B1G but I think so - if they wanted Bama out they would have left us out this week. The only way I see Bama getting left out if something like an OT win by Clemson, and even then I suspect they drop SMU below Bama as their record is similar to Miami's.

 

[Tide&True]

Let’s put together a cheat sheet. How should Bama fans hope the conference championship games should go?

 

[cdub55]

Northern Illinois has had some very good teams but not this year. They were 7-5, including losses to Buffalo, Toledo, Ball St. and Miami of Ohio

I mean Josh Allen is pretty good...

 

[BhamToTexas]

Clemson is 17th now, and the committee doesn't like their resume or record. With a win they would make the CFP as an automatic qualifier, but stay behind Alabama. SMU would drop behind them and out of the race altogether. The winner of the Big 12 would also remain behind Alabama. This places Alabama at 10.

I don't think so. One of those conference winners will jump to a top 4 bye.

 

[BhamToTexas]

The top 4 conference Champs jump to the top 4. My understanding in your scenario would be Boise jumping to 3, big 12 jumping to 4, and Clemson at 12.

And if UNLV won, Big 12 goes to 3rd, Clemson to 4, UNLV in at 12.

Or maybe I'm just confusing myself here.

That is correct.

 

[Cruloc]

Let’s put together a cheat sheet. How should Bama fans hope the conference championship games should go?

There's really only one game that matters....the ACCCG. The easiest outcome for us is for SMU win....we have to worry a little if Clemson wins.

Big 10 - Oregon and Penn State are already in
SEC - Georgia and Texas are already in
MWC - either Boise at 3 or 4....or UNLV at 12
Big 12 - either ASU or ISU anywhere from 3 to 4 or 12.

I hope UNLV wins....they were ahead of Boise in the 4th quarter in their first game.

 

[BhamToTexas]

Let’s put together a cheat sheet. How should Bama fans hope the conference championship games should go?

UGA win helps the resume a bit.
SMU win and Boise win to keep the matchups the way they are right now.
Then we will most likely get ND or PSU and then SMU.

 

[JustNeedMe81]

Let’s put together a cheat sheet. How should Bama fans hope the conference championship games should go?

Ask and you shall receive:

CUSA: Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville St. — Friday, 7 p.m. ET
AAC: Tulane vs. #24 Army — Friday, 8 p.m. ET
MAC: Ohio vs. Miami (OH) — Saturday, 12 p.m. ET
Sun Belt: Marshall vs. Louisiana — Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET

MWC: #20 UNLV vs. #10 Boise St. — Friday, 8 p.m. ET
UNLV vs. Boise State Playoff Implications
Winner of this game would likely earn a trip to the College Football Playoff. If it’s Boise State, it will get a first-round bye. If it’s UNLV, they will almost certainly be the 12th seed. If UNLV loses, it’s out of Playoff contention.
JNME81 thoughts: This one doesn't mention what happens if Boise State lose against UNLV. This is the game to watch.


Big 12: #16 Iowa State vs. #14 Arizona State — Saturday, 12 p.m. ET
Iowa State vs. Arizona State Playoff Implications
The winner of this game will almost certainly make the College Football Playoff as the 4th or 5th-highest ranked conference champion, depending on results of other games — specifically the Mountain West and ACC.

JNME81 thoughts: This really depends on MWC game.

SEC: #5 Georgia vs. #2 Texas — Saturday, 4 p.m. ET
Georgia vs. Texas Playoff Implications
On paper, this looks like the most exciting matchup of the weekend, but it’s actually not all that exciting. Both of these teams are locks to make the College Football Playoff. They’re simply playing for a bye in the first-round and higher seeding.
JNME81 thoughts: This one actually matter: We need Georgia to win the game. We don't want to take a chance with a loss for Georgia.



Big Ten: #3 Penn State vs. #1 Oregon — Saturday, 8 p.m. ET
Penn State vs. Oregon Playoff Implications
Similar to Texas and Georgia, this game doesn’t have much implications on who gets in outside of deciding who gets the Conference Champion first-round bye. Both of these teams are locks to make the College Football Playoff.
JNME81 thoughts: Don't care.

ACC: #17 Clemson vs. #8 SMU — Saturday. 8 p.m. ET
Clemson vs. SMU Playoff Implications
Believe it or not, three-loss Clemson is still live to make the College Football Playoff, even after the loss to South Carolina. All the Tigers have to do is win against SMU and they should be the fifth-highest conference champion. If they do win, that would put SMU on the fringe as the ACC #2, with teams like #11 Alabama, #13 Ole Miss, and #14 South Carolina.

For SMU, the Mustangs just need to win to get a first-round bye in the Playoff.

JNME81 thoughts: We want SMU to win to take away uncertainty for Alabama. If Clemson does win, I don't think SMU will get in playoff based on strength of schedule. Alabama might drop to #12 or #13.

So bottom line We want Boise State to win and SMU to win by 10 points.

 

[Cruloc]

Oregon -3.5 over Penn State (EPSN Analytics gives PSU a 53.7% chance to win)
Texas -2.5 over Georgia
SMU -2.5 over Clemson
Arizona State -2 over Iowa State (ESPN Analytics gives Iowa State a 54.9% chance to win)
Boise State -.4 over UNLV

All these games are basically pick'ems.

 

[Cruloc]

Possible first round lines.....of course these matchups may change....

Arizona State at Penn State (-13.5)
Tennessee at Ohio State (-6)
Alabama at Notre Dame (-3)
Indiana at Georgia (-8.5)

That Indiana - Georgia line seems to small for me, but I haven't watched Indiana outside of their Ohio State game (the only ranked team they played....and lost to)

Penn State would mash Arizona State.....they'd lean on them all game and blow it open.

The other two would be fun to watch.

 

[B1GTide]

Are we in regardless of what happens in your opinion??

Probably, excluding the possibility of a game so close that the committee feels like an SMU loss should be overlooked.

 

[PA Tide Fan]

I'm getting confused about the potential bye teams. If Clemson wins I initially thought they get the bye but now I think some of you are saying that only happens if Boise loses. If Boise wins then the Big 12 champ, not Clemson gets the 4th bye leaving Clemson as basically an at-large team. Is that correct?

 

[B1GTide]

I don't think so. One of those conference winners will jump to a top 4 bye.

Correct, but still be ranked below Alabama. I was talking about ranking, not seeding.

 

[colbysullivan]

Oregon -3.5 over Penn State (EPSN Analytics gives PSU a 53.7% chance to win)
Texas -2.5 over Georgia
SMU -2.5 over Clemson
Arizona State -2 over Iowa State (ESPN Analytics gives Iowa State a 54.9% chance to win)
Boise State -.4 over UNLV

All these games are basically pick'ems.

How in the world do the analytics favor PSU over Oregon?!?!

 

[Cruloc]

How in the world do the analytics favor PSU over Oregon?!?!

I have no idea.

Oregon 45-37 Penn State (Dec 7, 2024) Final Score - ESPN

Game summary of the Oregon Ducks vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAF game, final score 45-37, from December 7, 2024 on ESPN.

www.espn.com

 

[B1GTide]

I'm getting confused about the potential bye teams. If Clemson wins I initially thought they get the bye but now I think some of you are saying that only happens if Boise loses. If Boise wins then the Big 12 champ, not Clemson gets the 4th bye leaving Clemson as basically an at-large team. Is that correct?

The 5 highest ranked conference champions get automatic bids. The top 4 of those 5 get byes. So it depends on where they rank them.