My take on the Texas matchup after viewing their film~!~(SMACK WARNING!)

[cam4mav]

that is by far the most objective Bama post I've seen. good job sir!!!

 

[crimsonaudio]

An email I received this AM:

Everyone knows by now that Texas has the number 1 rush defense, giving up only 62.2 rushing yards per game. Bama is number 2, giving up 77.9 yards per game. But looking a little more closely at the numbers paints a different picture.

Notably, the Big 12 doesn't have a single team that averages over 200 yards rushing per game. The SEC has 4 teams (MSU, UF, Bama, Auburn). Also, the number 1 rushing team in the Big 12 (Okie State) would only be sixth best in the SEC behind Kentucky and the 4 listed above. Texas did not play the 3rd and 4th best rushing teams in the Big 12. Bama played all but the 8th and 9th best rushing teams in the SEC.

As a whole, Big 12 teams averaged 140.67 rushing yards per game compared the the SEC's 177.99. The average rushing yards of the Big 12 teams that Texas actually played was 130.9 compared to 178.1 for the SEC teams Bama played.

By the way, Bama averages 215 rushing yards per game, more than any team Texas has played. Notably, the two best rushing teams Texas has played this season averaged 162 yards against them, well over Texas' season average of 62.2.

 

[NYBamaFan]

In their games this year, Texas has shown serious weakness in their run defense between the tackles. Their LBs tackle well and have great speed (especially Muckleroy), but they can be blocked in a more vertical rushing attack. They can also be had on draw plays, as they over-pursue - big time. I can see a few Ingram cut-backs eating that up.

This is a good defense, but they take a lot of chances and they are not as disciplined as our defense. I can't tell you how many times they were beat on plays in the aTm game because they were trying to do too much and were out of position.

Also, their CBs like to play up on receivers and jump routes. That could hurt them like it hurt Florida (whose CBs, also very good, played the same way). Remember the Maze reception in the right flat? :wink:

The way that they take chances, we will score twice on mistakes alone...

 

[dayhiker]

Honestly I don't think that's a good thing. The fewer plays your defense allows, the better. The fact that they have had to defend 904 plays, shows that they have most likely created very few 3 and outs compared to our 774 plays defended.

It also probably means THEIR O had lots of 3 and outs and they had to keep coming back on the field.

 

[NYBamaFan]

It also probably means THEIR O had lots of 3 and outs and they had to keep coming back on the field.

Their offense ran more plays than ours, and their defense was on the field for more plays than ours. This is more indicative of the pass first offenses in their league than anything else, IMO.

Also, they thrive on big plays. I wonder how many 10+ play drives they had this year, and how many their opponents had...

 

[Clubfitter]

Thanks Bama504. Enjoyed reading that.

 

[BAMA504]

Wow, Texas had just as well stay home. I just don't how the Horns can compete based on the review. I guess we just might get blown out.

Ok first off don't know where in the world you got that impression and I am certain you will go back to your horn site and tell all of them how BAMA just thinks they are going to beat the crap out of you....... I never said we would win the game in the first place.
What I did see from watching many many games BAMA has played and comparing it to what I saw in 3 of your games (NOT INCLUDING NEBRASKA) in that case I saw a texas team who blows lesser opponents out like they should and teams with a better defense/offense they still find a way to win the games.

If you would take off the burnt orange glasses for a minute you would see everything that I wrote is dead on.
1. McCoy is better than G Mac
2. You are about the 3-4 best DL we have faced.
3. Your OL is just okay not good but not bad either.
4. You have not faced a running team YET.
5. You have 1 ace WR and the rest are good ( just like BAMA )
6. You are not running the ball it is just not what you do.
7. You pass to set up the run.
8. The big12 is a passing/spread conference.

Those are just some points I made out but you go back and cry about how BAMA fans all think they are just going to beat the crap out of us and just wait and see what texas does..... blah blah blah..... What you fail to realize is I have been critical about BAMA this year and I have been blasted on here for stating the facts. So pointing out what I see from studying film is an old hat and I learned it from my dad a long time ago. Either way all I am stating is what I saw and most of it can be backed with stats but I hate stat pumping just like to watch a game 2-3 times and then write what I saw.
In case you have noticed I am making sure NOT to use the Nebraska game as a measuring tool. Although that just blows my mind because you and your kind love to point to the barn and ucheat game. Yet when BAMA fans point at a game and say man they sucked you get offended. We sucked in the ucheat game and the barn game honestly, there is no reason in the world why EITHER of those 2 games were not 21+ point wins other than we might have just been way way to emotional and did not focus. So that's why I did not even count the Nebraska game because the pressure of knowing a win means a shot at the NC MIGHT have been some of the cause~!~

All I am telling you is that according to the games I watched (NOT INCLUDING NEBRASKA) this is what I saw as how you look to me compared to what I have witnessed all year with BAMA. Now if that means you think it looks like you better not show up well then that will work as well. Come to think of it if your boys would just bow out it might save me some gray hairs~!~

 

[dayhiker]

Their offense ran more plays than ours, and their defense was on the field for more plays than ours. This is more indicative of the pass first offenses in their league than anything else, IMO.

Also, they thrive on big plays. I wonder how many 10+ play drives they had this year, and how many their opponents had...

He was speaking about the higher number of plays Nebraska's DO had run being a bad indicator for them. I wasn't clear, but meant that the high number os snaps the Nebraska D played probably meant their O had lots of 3 and outs.

 

[NYBamaFan]

He was speaking about the higher number of plays Nebraska's DO had run being a bad indicator for them. I wasn't clear, but meant that the high number os snaps the Nebraska D played probably meant their O had lots of 3 and outs.

Cool - thanks - Yeah, Nebraska had a lot of 3 and outs... :biggrin:

 

[fireater]

While reading this thread, all I was thinking is...This is going to be a great ballgame. Our special teams better be ready, it may again come down to them.

 

[RollTideMang]

He was speaking about the higher number of plays Nebraska's DO had run being a bad indicator for them. I wasn't clear, but meant that the high number os snaps the Nebraska D played probably meant their O had lots of 3 and outs.

yeah i came back and made that point after my first post. It really is a deceiving number though with just how many plays they ran. You have to take a lot of other aspects in when deciding whether it was a good thing or a bad thing.

 

[Illusions]

He was speaking about the higher number of plays Nebraska's DO had run being a bad indicator for them. I wasn't clear, but meant that the high number os snaps the Nebraska D played probably meant their O had lots of 3 and outs.

3 and out could also be 3 plays and the third being a touchdown.

texas is good or they wouldn't be in this game. Both teams have to play their best game or they lose. Tx will be well reseted and so will Bama. It should be a close game. Penalties will play a huge part along with field position.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

James Carpenter has seen a lot of great DEs in his first season...hopefully he'll handle this last test as well as he handled Worilds in game 1.

RGW, this matchup worries me. The largest % by far of our sacks given up have been by Carpenter being circled by athletic DEs. The solutions, of course, harm the offense substantially. And, Orange Guys, 504 is infamous for posting a thread entitled something like "Three things we absolutely must remedy immediately." He then has to duck all the bombs thrown his way...

 

[NYBamaFan]

RGW, this matchup worries me. The largest % by far of our sacks given up have been by Carpenter being circled by athletic DEs. The solutions, of course, harm the offense substantially. And, Orange Guys, 504 is infamous for posting a thread entitled something like "Three things we absolutely must remedy immediately." He then has to duck all the bombs thrown his way...

I agree - the loss of Dunlap hurt Florida more than they realize. He would have given Carpenter all he could handle in that game...

 

[dayhiker]

3 and out could also be 3 plays and the third being a touchdown.

texas is good or they wouldn't be in this game. Both teams have to play their best game or they lose. Tx will be well reseted and so will Bama. It should be a close game. Penalties will play a huge part along with field position.

Again, I am talking about the Nebraska O's ineffectiveness bumping the # of snaps their D plays.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

Ok first off don't know where in the world you got that impression and I am certain you will go back to your horn site and tell all of them how BAMA just thinks they are going to beat the crap out of you.

This^ I've already seen it. I'm quietly confident we win. I think we win in a tight game. If it goes to a high score on either side, I think that side will be ours. I've already indicated that I think the line is relatively modest for gambling reasons. All that said, we can certainly lose. I do think, that if we lose, it will be because we helped beat ourselves...

 

[BamaFlum]

Great read. Having to wait for so long is killing me. I can't imagine having to be a player.

 

[jiggy-z]

My specific idea, when mentioning the # of plays that the Nebraska D defended was at least twofold: 1. To point out that Nebraska's offense was bad and 2. That their numbers are impressive given the amount of time they were on the field. Bama's D is better on a per play basis but, as we all know, all of those great defensive numbers start to break down when an offense can't stay on the field-see SEC championship game. So yeah in Nebraska's case it is a good stat.

 

[TexasLidig8r]

If you look at there stats, Greg and Colt are around the same accuracy rating. McElroy just doesn't have to throw as much because we have the best running game. Who knows how good McElroy would be if he played at Texas and had to pass all the time? No one. I'll take Greg over Colt anyday because I honestly think he wants it more but doesn't expect it to come without hard work. And he's been incredibly poised latey, I mean he just looks comfortable and in control. And most importantly he knows he doesn't have to play outside of himself to win this. Colt will have to have the best game of his life to beat us. He will have to turn in a Tebow performance.

OH my.. where to start.

So.. a first year starter wants it more than a 5th year senior, who has worked his way up from an unheralded high school kid taken as an afterthought?.. a 5th year senior who has put on 30 pounds of muscle... has studied hours and hours of game film... has steadily developed over this time in Austin... has led 4th quarter come back victories over Oklahoma last year and this year... over Ohio State... who has set the NCAA record for most victories... who in the past 2 years is 25 - 1... who has been on the big stage and excelled..again.. and again.. and again...

As for turning in a "tebow like performance..." let's see.. Tebow has fewer yards passing than Colt.. fewer victories.. fewer passing touchdowns...

You go to 120 college football coaches and asked them if they preferred Colt right now or your quarterback right now... would there by fewer than 2 who would say your QB?

You have an outstanding team.. of that there is no dispute.

But... come now.

 

[twofbyc]

OH my.. where to start.

So.. a first year starter wants it more than a 5th year senior, who has worked his way up from an unheralded high school kid taken as an afterthought?.. a 5th year senior who has put on 30 pounds of muscle... has studied hours and hours of game film... has steadily developed over this time in Austin... has led 4th quarter come back victories over Oklahoma last year and this year... over Ohio State... who has set the NCAA record for most victories... who in the past 2 years is 25 - 1... who has been on the big stage and excelled..again.. and again.. and again...

As for turning in a "tebow like performance..." let's see.. Tebow has fewer yards passing than Colt.. fewer victories.. fewer passing touchdowns...

You go to 120 college football coaches and asked them if they preferred Colt right now or your quarterback right now... would there by fewer than 2 who would say your QB?

You have an outstanding team.. of that there is no dispute.

But... come now.

I'm not sure, but you may be missing his point (or I am); McCoy has to win the game for Tejas. GMAC does not have to win it for Bama, he has a lot more playmakers who can win it than Colt does. Ingram, Richardson, Upchurch, Peek, Jones, Maze, Hanks...I don't think Tejas can match that talent man-for-man, position by position. A couple of good wr's and Colt won't be enough offensively, IMO.