Potential final ranking prognostication

That is definitely how they will tip their hand.

There is really no reasoning for any movement based on this weeks results.

A&M is the only Top 15 team that lost but they wouldn’t drop far enough to affect us in any way.

BYU beat UCF to get to 11-1 but why would that justify suddenly jumping us before CG week?

If they do that’s them pushing us into the Bubble to drop us like a bad habit at 10-3.
We’re gonna have to FORCE the committee to put us in. Even the ESPN predictor has us the 7 seed if we WIN the SEC. The champion of the best conference in college football as the SEVENTH SEED…
 
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We’re gonna have to FORCE the committee to put us in. Even the ESPN predictor has us the 7 seed if we WIN the SEC. The champion of the best conference in college football as the SEVENTH SEED…

With Oklahoma making it in and finishing 10-2......the only way we'd pass them in the CFP rankings is if we beat Georgia by 4 TDs.

Oklahoma is our ceiling. We win the SECCG and they'll keep ATM and Oklahoma above us.....and possibly Ole Miss. Although I'm not sure what they'll do with Ole Miss with Kiffin not coaching them. They may come up with some reason to knock them down a few.
 
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With Oklahoma making it in and finishing 10-2......the only way we'd pass them in the CFP rankings is if we beat Georgia by 4 TDs.

Oklahoma is our ceiling. We win the SECCG and they'll keep ATM and Oklahoma above us.....and possibly Ole Miss. Although I'm not sure what they'll do with Ole Miss with Kiffin not coaching them. They may come up with some reason to knock them down a few.

Yep

I was so ticked at LSU for choking that game away.

I ran tons of Playoff sims before this weeks game and getting OU out of the way opened up the path for us to get as high as 5-6 Seeds a few times.

But with them in the way we are stuck around 7-8th without the Committee making a human choice requiring some intellectually nuanced thinking.

So yeah…. 7th-8th
 
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I expect us to move up to #9, ahead of A&M. Since we had a good game running the ball maybe they jump us over ND too.
 
Rankings Tuesday.....my projection:

1. Ohio State
2. Indiana
3. Georgia
4. Texas Tech
5. Oregon
6. Ole Miss
7. Texas A&M
8. Oklahoma
9. Notre Dame
10. Alabama
11. BYU
12. Miami

Keep in mind that North Texas or James Madison will get elevated to that 12 slot in the last rankings....so if you're 12th you're gonna be out.

- If BYU beats Texas Tech.....both will be in.
- Oregon / Ole Miss / Texas A&M / Oklahoma / Notre Dame / Miami.......are done and have to wait for the final rankings.

- Ohio State vs Indiana
- Georgia vs Alabama
- Texas Tech vs BYU
- Virginia vs Duke.....I don't think the winner here is guaranteed a spot. Because the committee has "discretion"
 
I think there is a knee jerk reaction that occurs immediately after games each week. For instance, the discussion Friday night and Saturday morning was whether Texas can get into the playoff, but that has subsided and the reality is they have no shot. Now there is knee jerk reaction to yesterday’s games where there were no upsets, and we need something to talk about so it becomes Miami getting in or Alabama not being guaranteed in. This will subside as well most likely, and the focus this week will be on looking at teams in their entirety of the season.
 
The Coaches Poll is out:
IMG_7982.jpeg

We know how close they just copy these like crib notes.

So A&M is at #7 now and OU at #8

Good news is they did not jump BYU over us so maybe the committee mirrors that.

It could come down to the question of would the Committee jump a potential 11-2 Bama over both a 11-1 A&M and 10-2 OU by virtue of being the Conf Champ?

I’m not sure they would.
 

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