Russia Invades Ukraine XIX

[Padreruf]

Dr. Tim Wilson -- I didn't know who he was until a few months ago, and have seen some of his stuff since then. He certainly gives the impression of having considered positions. The British accent probably doesn't hurt on that front.

In addition to his assessment of recent events and trends, I'd be interested to hear what he thinks will happen in the future and when. Not asking for dates, but rather time frames -- as in, 90 days out or sooner? Six months? A year? I'd also be interested to hear the basis for his predictions.

Not questioning or saying he's full of it at all -- rather, what do you think will happen, when and why. Based on his delivery (both content and style), I'd bet he has some thoughts on that.

I'm certainly no Tidewater or Padreruf on the subject, but my understanding is that Russia is usually extremely hard, but brittle. IOW, they're really tough until all of a sudden they disintegrate. Does he think that will happen? If so, what will be the first signs?

I love asking questions of people who know what they're talking about.

I have no idea if Professor Wilson is legit or not. He does teach @ The Moscow State Pedagogical Institute in Moscow. He was in theatre and studied theology @ Oxford. All this from his wikipedia page. I do know from listening to Peter Ziehan that he has expressed warnings for Russia as to their number of casualties in this war.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

Dr. Tim Wilson -- I didn't know who he was until a few months ago, and have seen some of his stuff since then. He certainly gives the impression of having considered positions. The British accent probably doesn't hurt on that front.

In addition to his assessment of recent events and trends, I'd be interested to hear what he thinks will happen in the future and when. Not asking for dates, but rather time frames -- as in, 90 days out or sooner? Six months? A year? I'd also be interested to hear the basis for his predictions.

Not questioning or saying he's full of it at all -- rather, what do you think will happen, when and why. Based on his delivery (both content and style), I'd bet he has some thoughts on that.

I'm certainly no Tidewater or Padreruf on the subject, but my understanding is that Russia is usually extremely hard, but brittle. IOW, they're really tough until all of a sudden they disintegrate. Does he think that will happen? If so, what will be the first signs?

I love asking questions of people who know what they're talking about.

Not named, but you can find examples of both behaviors in Russian history. In 1918, Russian society was already strained to the breaking point. In WWII, just ask the Germans how Russians break. I'm not sure that it's possible to gauge the degree of strain there from the outside, maybe not even from the inside...