I’ve read an encouraging essay suggesting Ukraine is going to take the offensive in a few months. The arms the U.S. have been sending will come into play in a big way, along with the improved weather.
Well, at least they abbreviated it by omitting the "zeug" after "Flug." Otherwise, it would be "Flugzeugabwehrkanonenpanzer." (Airplane+defense+canon+panther [tank])...Flakpanzer Gepard
Images
View attachment 24396
View attachment 24397
View attachment 24398
View attachment 24399
More images
The Flugabwehrkanonenpanzer Gepard is an all-weather-capable German self-propelled anti-aircraft gun. It was developed in the 1960s and fielded in the 1970s, and has been upgraded several times with the latest electronics. Wikipedia
Height: Radar retracted: 3.29 m (10 ft 10 in)
Mass: 47.5 t (46.7 long tons; 52.4 short tons)
Armor: conventional steel
Crew: 3 (driver, gunner, commander)
Engine: 10-cylinder, 37,400 cc (2,280 cu in) MTU multi-fuel engine; 830 PS (819 hp, 610 kW)
Length: Overall: 7.68 m (25 ft 2 in)
Main armament: 2 × 35 mm Oerlikon GDF autocannon, each with 320 rounds anti-air ammunition and 20 rounds anti-tank
It stands to reason that unless Russia has some sort of big breakout soon (unlikely), they will wear down their resources, especially the combat-readiness of their troops. Ukraine is also sufferering losses, but they have a huge advantage in morale, plus a pipeline of better equipment than Russia can field. I'll bet my bottom ruble the Ukrainians are planning a big counterattack once they judge the Russian forces sufficiently spent. I have no idea when that will be, but if I had to guess I would say in a month or two. Then the critical question will be, if Russia appears on the verge of a strategic defeat, whether Putin will escalate to nuclear or chemical weapons. That is the part that makes my guts tighten up.I’ve read an encouraging essay suggesting Ukraine is going to take the offensive in a few months. The arms the U.S. have been sending will come into play in a big way, along with the improved weather.
NATO has to make it clear to him that that would be a tremendously tragic decision for him and his country.Then the critical question will be, if Russia appears on the verge of a strategic defeat, whether Putin will escalate to nuclear or chemical weapons. That is the part that makes my guts tighten up.
It's all a matter of timing now, whether we can get the weapons to the front in time. On the news this AM, they said 950 miles from Lviv on the west to Dnipro in the east and then another 250 north and the same distance south to meet the two fronts of the Russian pincers. Meanwhile, Russia is attacking the railroads to prevent it...It stands to reason that unless Russia has some sort of big breakout soon (unlikely), they will wear down their resources, especially the combat-readiness of their troops. Ukraine is also sufferering losses, but they have a huge advantage in morale, plus a pipeline of better equipment than Russia can field. I'll bet my bottom ruble the Ukrainians are planning a big counterattack once they judge the Russian forces sufficiently spent. I have no idea when that will be, but if I had to guess I would say in a month or two. Then the critical question will be, if Russia appears on the verge of a strategic defeat, whether Putin will escalate to nuclear or chemical weapons. That is the part that makes my guts tighten up.