Pretty fair assesment. A couple of observations from someone who has seen every game Texas has played for, well, a long time.
You are correct our OL is the weak link after being expected to be a strong point. Not many would argue with that and if you win I think that will be the main reason. Colt does run but in the last third of the season more of them have been called plays and not scrambles. So look for that. Shipley may or may not be fast, he times well, but he has a knack for getting open and catches whatever he touches. Doubling him helps but it depends on if our other receivers catch the balls going their way. If Jordan is doubled and our open receiver drops touchdown passes then we are sunk. You are correct that we pass to set up the run. No secret there.
Defense is where we may differ. Yours is obviously outstanding. I do quibble about ours being the 4th best you'll face. I think we match up with Fla, but of course you shredded them. We run essentially the same defense you do, even with the same named calls, since Muschamp worked for Saban for 5 years. We do a lot of bending but are very fast, I think faster than fla. You can argue about personnel forever but suffice it to say we both recruit 4 and 5 star athletes.
So I think you nailed it in that if our OL does not come to play we will lose. If they show up it will be a close game. My ticket arrived last week and I was there in 2006 when we played what everyone said was the greatest team ever assembled. Sometimes you get lucky and the breaks fall your way.
What matters most is what Mack told the press yesterday. Records don't count. Who is the better team doesn't matter. What matters is who plays better for 3 1/2 hours on January 7. Just for that 3 1/2 hours. I hope it is a good game. (and by that I mean we win but I hope is is good either way)
Hook 'Em
Good rebuttle and I know as much as texas fans want to dismiss the Nebraska game it showed out staff what will stop the passing attack. Say what you want about Nebraska or ou but they were dropping 6+ back and covering until their pass rush got there. In the same since I believe BAMA should follow this because of 2 things:
1. Bama has a better secondary than ou & nebraska and our pash rush is certainly on par or better than both of them as well. I know Suh caused all kinds of problems and he was just 1 guy. We have 3-4 just like him IMO, Marcel #57 is in his league and I am sure you know Cody by now. I know Cody is not as fast but he commands 2 almost evey snap. Combine that with Washington and Anders it makes for one very nasty front able to put pressure all year long against some pretty good OL.
2. I think texas gets frustrated easily once they cannot just score fast and they like the big play. In a few of your games this year it certainly looked like you guys were not happy, sort of like Ingram against the barn. If we can get you 3 and out and work on that defense with the running game we will win~!~
On your defense I am probably biased being from the SEC but teams in this league are geared to stop the run and I just don't see texas defense built that way. Granted you might be #1 in run defense but seriously does anyone in the big12 even try running it anymore??? I don't see texas as solid as florida on defense but then again they should of been stronger than ours as well. They have all of their starters and 2nd string back so they should of just been lights out.
Texas has IMO 1 really good corner, 1 really good safety, 2 good LB's and 2 really good DL from what I can see on tape. The rest of the defense is good but honestly they have not been tested against a run team with an outstanding OL and great RB (actually 3 great RB's). I guess you could say nebraska tried to run but seriously I could of shut down that attack with my 9-10 year old team....

they are just sad, 1 PA pass when you guys had like 10 guys in the box and they could of done good... I honestly think our balance is what will be the key to winning since you will have to be very proficient at stopping the run without loading the box~!~ JMHO~!~
BAMA is missing a key player and is still better than florida but ours is from coaching and not so much star players, in the secondary that is. Johnson #24 is playing like a man on a mission and honestly other than Javy he is our best corner. Jackson #3 had some huge games as a freshman but he had some serious issues last year not staying in phase. This year he is better but of the 3 he is the weaker one IMO. Barron #4 is a beast and after a couple of rough games which left all BAMA fans feeling pretty nervous because of bad angles he has found a home and a knack for the INT. #27 Woodall is the un-sung player on the entire defense, while he might not be called by name on any play he certainly has not been called very often for blowing coverage which is HUGE for us.
We shall see but your right this should be a very good game~!~